**Ongoing US sanctions pressure, including the August launch of "Operation Economic Outcast" targeting shadow-fleet tankers and intermediaries, combined with a naval blockade that has slashed Iranian crude exports to roughly 220,000–260,000 barrels per day, continues to constrain foreign-currency inflows and support rial depreciation.** Free-market rates tracked on platforms like Bonbast have already reached record levels near 2.2 million rials per USD in early September amid 66–84% inflation and severed trade links, such as with the UAE. Central Bank interventions—including pledges to inject up to $2 billion—have provided temporary support but have not reversed the trend. With roughly 25 days until the September 30 resolution, these competing forces—escalating external restrictions versus domestic stabilization efforts—keep the leading ranges (2.2–2.5M and 2.5–2.8M) closely matched in trader consensus, as modest shifts in export volumes, intervention scale, or diplomatic signals could still determine the final band.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoDa 2,8 a 3,1M 37%
<2,2M 30%
3,1M+ 27%
Da 2,2 a 2,5 milioni 0
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 set 2026
<2,2M
30%
Da 2,2 a 2,5 milioni
41%
Da 2,5 a 2,8 milioni
40%
Da 2,8 a 3,1M
37%
3,1M+
27%
Da 2,8 a 3,1M 37%
<2,2M 30%
3,1M+ 27%
Da 2,2 a 2,5 milioni 0
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 set 2026
<2,2M
$24 Vol.
30%
Da 2,2 a 2,5 milioni
$54 Vol.
41%
Da 2,5 a 2,8 milioni
$4 Vol.
40%
Da 2,8 a 3,1M
$0 Vol.
37%
3,1M+
$0 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.**Ongoing US sanctions pressure, including the August launch of "Operation Economic Outcast" targeting shadow-fleet tankers and intermediaries, combined with a naval blockade that has slashed Iranian crude exports to roughly 220,000–260,000 barrels per day, continues to constrain foreign-currency inflows and support rial depreciation.** Free-market rates tracked on platforms like Bonbast have already reached record levels near 2.2 million rials per USD in early September amid 66–84% inflation and severed trade links, such as with the UAE. Central Bank interventions—including pledges to inject up to $2 billion—have provided temporary support but have not reversed the trend. With roughly 25 days until the September 30 resolution, these competing forces—escalating external restrictions versus domestic stabilization efforts—keep the leading ranges (2.2–2.5M and 2.5–2.8M) closely matched in trader consensus, as modest shifts in export volumes, intervention scale, or diplomatic signals could still determine the final band.
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Mercato aperto: Sep 4, 2026, 2:48 PM ET
Volume
$82Data di fine
30 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 4, 2026, 2:48 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.**Ongoing US sanctions pressure, including the August launch of "Operation Economic Outcast" targeting shadow-fleet tankers and intermediaries, combined with a naval blockade that has slashed Iranian crude exports to roughly 220,000–260,000 barrels per day, continues to constrain foreign-currency inflows and support rial depreciation.** Free-market rates tracked on platforms like Bonbast have already reached record levels near 2.2 million rials per USD in early September amid 66–84% inflation and severed trade links, such as with the UAE. Central Bank interventions—including pledges to inject up to $2 billion—have provided temporary support but have not reversed the trend. With roughly 25 days until the September 30 resolution, these competing forces—escalating external restrictions versus domestic stabilization efforts—keep the leading ranges (2.2–2.5M and 2.5–2.8M) closely matched in trader consensus, as modest shifts in export volumes, intervention scale, or diplomatic signals could still determine the final band.
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$82Data di fine
30 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 4, 2026, 2:48 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Ongoing US sanctions pressure, including the August launch of "Operation Economic Outcast" targeting shadow-fleet tankers and intermediaries, combined with a naval blockade that has slashed Iranian crude exports to roughly 220,000–260,000 barrels per day, continues to constrain foreign-currency inflows and support rial depreciation.** Free-market rates tracked on platforms like Bonbast have already reached record levels near 2.2 million rials per USD in early September amid 66–84% inflation and severed trade links, such as with the UAE. Central Bank interventions—including pledges to inject up to $2 billion—have provided temporary support but have not reversed the trend. With roughly 25 days until the September 30 resolution, these competing forces—escalating external restrictions versus domestic stabilization efforts—keep the leading ranges (2.2–2.5M and 2.5–2.8M) closely matched in trader consensus, as modest shifts in export volumes, intervention scale, or diplomatic signals could still determine the final band.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti