US sanctions, secondary measures targeting third-party trade, and a naval blockade have sharply reduced Iran's oil exports and foreign currency inflows, accelerating rial depreciation to record levels near 2.2 million per dollar amid high inflation and capital outflows. Recent Central Bank interventions and official statements have provided limited stabilization, while diplomatic signals remain fluid following earlier 2026 tensions and a temporary mid-year rebound. Traders assign the highest probabilities to the 2.0–3.0 million range at year-end, reflecting expectations that sustained pressure will outweigh near-term relief efforts. Further escalation in sanctions enforcement or oil disruptions could push rates higher, whereas verifiable progress in negotiations or eased restrictions might support appreciation toward or below 2.0 million.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato2,0 - 2,5M 36%
2,5 - 3,0M 28%
<2,0M 20%
3,0 - 3,5M 17%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 dic 2026
<2,0M
20%
2,0 - 2,5M
36%
2,5 - 3,0M
28%
3,0 - 3,5M
17%
3,5 - 4,0M
6%
4,0M+
5%
2,0 - 2,5M 36%
2,5 - 3,0M 28%
<2,0M 20%
3,0 - 3,5M 17%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 dic 2026
<2,0M
$2,081 Vol.
20%
2,0 - 2,5M
$396 Vol.
36%
2,5 - 3,0M
$254 Vol.
28%
3,0 - 3,5M
$181 Vol.
17%
3,5 - 4,0M
$61 Vol.
6%
4,0M+
$61 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.US sanctions, secondary measures targeting third-party trade, and a naval blockade have sharply reduced Iran's oil exports and foreign currency inflows, accelerating rial depreciation to record levels near 2.2 million per dollar amid high inflation and capital outflows. Recent Central Bank interventions and official statements have provided limited stabilization, while diplomatic signals remain fluid following earlier 2026 tensions and a temporary mid-year rebound. Traders assign the highest probabilities to the 2.0–3.0 million range at year-end, reflecting expectations that sustained pressure will outweigh near-term relief efforts. Further escalation in sanctions enforcement or oil disruptions could push rates higher, whereas verifiable progress in negotiations or eased restrictions might support appreciation toward or below 2.0 million.
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Mercato aperto: Sep 3, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
Volume
$3,034Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 3, 2026, 6:23 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.US sanctions, secondary measures targeting third-party trade, and a naval blockade have sharply reduced Iran's oil exports and foreign currency inflows, accelerating rial depreciation to record levels near 2.2 million per dollar amid high inflation and capital outflows. Recent Central Bank interventions and official statements have provided limited stabilization, while diplomatic signals remain fluid following earlier 2026 tensions and a temporary mid-year rebound. Traders assign the highest probabilities to the 2.0–3.0 million range at year-end, reflecting expectations that sustained pressure will outweigh near-term relief efforts. Further escalation in sanctions enforcement or oil disruptions could push rates higher, whereas verifiable progress in negotiations or eased restrictions might support appreciation toward or below 2.0 million.
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$3,034Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 3, 2026, 6:23 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...US sanctions, secondary measures targeting third-party trade, and a naval blockade have sharply reduced Iran's oil exports and foreign currency inflows, accelerating rial depreciation to record levels near 2.2 million per dollar amid high inflation and capital outflows. Recent Central Bank interventions and official statements have provided limited stabilization, while diplomatic signals remain fluid following earlier 2026 tensions and a temporary mid-year rebound. Traders assign the highest probabilities to the 2.0–3.0 million range at year-end, reflecting expectations that sustained pressure will outweigh near-term relief efforts. Further escalation in sanctions enforcement or oil disruptions could push rates higher, whereas verifiable progress in negotiations or eased restrictions might support appreciation toward or below 2.0 million.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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