Intensified U.S. sanctions, including the August 2026 launch of Operation Economic Outcast and renewed naval blockade measures, have sharply curtailed Iranian oil exports—a primary source of foreign currency—pushing the rial to record unofficial lows near or above 2 million per dollar. Central bank statements confirm exports have effectively halted amid disrupted financial channels, secondary sanctions targeting trade partners, and elevated inflation exceeding 40%. These pressures, compounded by post-conflict economic contraction and stalled diplomatic talks, underpin trader consensus favoring further depreciation to the 2.2 million+ range by end-September, with limited near-term catalysts for stabilization or reversal.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoUSD x rial iraniani a fine settembre?
2,2M+ 50%
2,0-2,1M 14%
2,1-2,2M 11.5%
1,9-2,0M 9%
<1,7M
1%
1,7-1,8M
4%
1,8-1,9M
3%
1,9-2,0M
9%
2,0-2,1M
17%
2,1-2,2M
12%
2,2M+
42%
2,2M+ 50%
2,0-2,1M 14%
2,1-2,2M 11.5%
1,9-2,0M 9%
<1,7M
1%
1,7-1,8M
4%
1,8-1,9M
3%
1,9-2,0M
9%
2,0-2,1M
17%
2,1-2,2M
12%
2,2M+
42%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Mercato aperto: Aug 26, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Intensified U.S. sanctions, including the August 2026 launch of Operation Economic Outcast and renewed naval blockade measures, have sharply curtailed Iranian oil exports—a primary source of foreign currency—pushing the rial to record unofficial lows near or above 2 million per dollar. Central bank statements confirm exports have effectively halted amid disrupted financial channels, secondary sanctions targeting trade partners, and elevated inflation exceeding 40%. These pressures, compounded by post-conflict economic contraction and stalled diplomatic talks, underpin trader consensus favoring further depreciation to the 2.2 million+ range by end-September, with limited near-term catalysts for stabilization or reversal.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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