The closely matched market-implied odds reflect intense competition among text-to-video models with no dominant leader as of September 2026. Google Veo 3.1 stands out for native audio generation, prompt adherence, and Gemini ecosystem integration, while Kling 3.0 and ByteDance Seedance 2.0 emphasize strong motion control, multi-shot capabilities, and competitive pricing. Runway Gen-4.5 appeals for professional editing tools and character consistency, and Luma variants prioritize realism in image-to-video workflows. OpenAI Sora's low positioning aligns with its ongoing API sunset on September 24, shifting trader focus to ongoing benchmarks in resolution, length, and audio fidelity that could still shift sentiment before November resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiTencent 35%
Google 28%
SpaceXAI 26%
Pruna 26%

Tencent
35%

28%

SpaceXAI
26%

Pruna
26%

Pika
26%

MiniMax
26%

Lightricks
26%

Kandinsky
25%

OpenAI
14%

Runway
14%

Meta
14%

Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH
14%

KlingAI
14%

Black Forest Labs
14%

Pixverse
14%

ByteDance
13%

Luma AI
13%

Genmo AI
13%
Tencent 35%
Google 28%
SpaceXAI 26%
Pruna 26%

Tencent
35%

28%

SpaceXAI
26%

Pruna
26%

Pika
26%

MiniMax
26%

Lightricks
26%

Kandinsky
25%

OpenAI
14%

Runway
14%

Meta
14%

Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH
14%

KlingAI
14%

Black Forest Labs
14%

Pixverse
14%

ByteDance
13%

Luma AI
13%

Genmo AI
13%
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 17, 2026, 8:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched market-implied odds reflect intense competition among text-to-video models with no dominant leader as of September 2026. Google Veo 3.1 stands out for native audio generation, prompt adherence, and Gemini ecosystem integration, while Kling 3.0 and ByteDance Seedance 2.0 emphasize strong motion control, multi-shot capabilities, and competitive pricing. Runway Gen-4.5 appeals for professional editing tools and character consistency, and Luma variants prioritize realism in image-to-video workflows. OpenAI Sora's low positioning aligns with its ongoing API sunset on September 24, shifting trader focus to ongoing benchmarks in resolution, length, and audio fidelity that could still shift sentiment before November resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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