Anthropic’s rapid iteration cycle on its Claude family drives current trader sentiment around the next Opus release, following the July 24 launch of Opus 5 and the September 1 debut of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1. Recent leaks and routing tests have fueled speculation of an Opus 5.2 arrival as early as September 17–18 or by month-end, aligning with prediction-market medians near September 23 and over 80% implied probability within a week of that date. Competitive pressure from OpenAI, Google, and xAI, combined with Anthropic’s pattern of shortening intervals between high-tier updates, supports expectations of another near-term flagship model focused on coding, agentic workflows, and efficiency gains. Key near-term catalysts include any official announcements or API listings that could confirm or shift the timeline.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$143,460 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
81%
September 17
4%
September 20
9%
September 24
64%
September 27
79%
October 31
98%
December 31
98%
$143,460 Vol.
September 30
$65,473 Vol.
81%
September 17
$7,969 Vol.
4%
September 20
$4,202 Vol.
9%
September 24
$3,284 Vol.
64%
September 27
$2,369 Vol.
79%
October 31
$13,502 Vol.
98%
December 31
$5,146 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s rapid iteration cycle on its Claude family drives current trader sentiment around the next Opus release, following the July 24 launch of Opus 5 and the September 1 debut of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1. Recent leaks and routing tests have fueled speculation of an Opus 5.2 arrival as early as September 17–18 or by month-end, aligning with prediction-market medians near September 23 and over 80% implied probability within a week of that date. Competitive pressure from OpenAI, Google, and xAI, combined with Anthropic’s pattern of shortening intervals between high-tier updates, supports expectations of another near-term flagship model focused on coding, agentic workflows, and efficiency gains. Key near-term catalysts include any official announcements or API listings that could confirm or shift the timeline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ET
Volume
$143,460Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s rapid iteration cycle on its Claude family drives current trader sentiment around the next Opus release, following the July 24 launch of Opus 5 and the September 1 debut of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1. Recent leaks and routing tests have fueled speculation of an Opus 5.2 arrival as early as September 17–18 or by month-end, aligning with prediction-market medians near September 23 and over 80% implied probability within a week of that date. Competitive pressure from OpenAI, Google, and xAI, combined with Anthropic’s pattern of shortening intervals between high-tier updates, supports expectations of another near-term flagship model focused on coding, agentic workflows, and efficiency gains. Key near-term catalysts include any official announcements or API listings that could confirm or shift the timeline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$143,460Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s rapid iteration cycle on its Claude family drives current trader sentiment around the next Opus release, following the July 24 launch of Opus 5 and the September 1 debut of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1. Recent leaks and routing tests have fueled speculation of an Opus 5.2 arrival as early as September 17–18 or by month-end, aligning with prediction-market medians near September 23 and over 80% implied probability within a week of that date. Competitive pressure from OpenAI, Google, and xAI, combined with Anthropic’s pattern of shortening intervals between high-tier updates, supports expectations of another near-term flagship model focused on coding, agentic workflows, and efficiency gains. Key near-term catalysts include any official announcements or API listings that could confirm or shift the timeline.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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