Anthropic's rapid iteration pace shapes sentiment around the next Claude Opus release, with Opus 5 launching July 24, 2026, as a near-frontier model offering performance close to Fable 5 at half the cost and expanded context and agentic features. Following Opus 4.8 in May and a string of Claude 4.x upgrades, the company has compressed major Opus steps into weeks rather than months while emphasizing reliability, tool use, and safety classifiers. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google model cycles, combined with Anthropic's cloud partnerships and focus on coding and agent workflows, supports expectations for continued frequent updates, though exact timing hinges on internal benchmarks and any undisclosed development hurdles.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiBARU
Aug 31, 2026
August 31
11%
October 31
67%
December 31
90%
$1,957 Vol.
August 31
$527 Vol.
11%
October 31
$923 Vol.
67%
December 31
$507 Vol.
90%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's rapid iteration pace shapes sentiment around the next Claude Opus release, with Opus 5 launching July 24, 2026, as a near-frontier model offering performance close to Fable 5 at half the cost and expanded context and agentic features. Following Opus 4.8 in May and a string of Claude 4.x upgrades, the company has compressed major Opus steps into weeks rather than months while emphasizing reliability, tool use, and safety classifiers. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google model cycles, combined with Anthropic's cloud partnerships and focus on coding and agent workflows, supports expectations for continued frequent updates, though exact timing hinges on internal benchmarks and any undisclosed development hurdles.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 28, 2026, 6:32 PM ET
Volume
$1,957Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 28, 2026, 6:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's rapid iteration pace shapes sentiment around the next Claude Opus release, with Opus 5 launching July 24, 2026, as a near-frontier model offering performance close to Fable 5 at half the cost and expanded context and agentic features. Following Opus 4.8 in May and a string of Claude 4.x upgrades, the company has compressed major Opus steps into weeks rather than months while emphasizing reliability, tool use, and safety classifiers. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google model cycles, combined with Anthropic's cloud partnerships and focus on coding and agent workflows, supports expectations for continued frequent updates, though exact timing hinges on internal benchmarks and any undisclosed development hurdles.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,957Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 28, 2026, 6:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic's rapid iteration pace shapes sentiment around the next Claude Opus release, with Opus 5 launching July 24, 2026, as a near-frontier model offering performance close to Fable 5 at half the cost and expanded context and agentic features. Following Opus 4.8 in May and a string of Claude 4.x upgrades, the company has compressed major Opus steps into weeks rather than months while emphasizing reliability, tool use, and safety classifiers. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google model cycles, combined with Anthropic's cloud partnerships and focus on coding and agent workflows, supports expectations for continued frequent updates, though exact timing hinges on internal benchmarks and any undisclosed development hurdles.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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