Anthropic’s June 30, 2026 launch of Claude Sonnet 5, positioned as the most agentic midsize model yet with strong gains in reasoning, tool use, coding, and autonomous task performance close to Opus 4.8 at lower cost, sets the baseline for trader expectations on the next Sonnet release. The model’s 1M-token context, adaptive thinking by default, and permanent introductory pricing reflect Anthropic’s push to compete on capability-per-dollar against OpenAI’s GPT lineup and Google’s Gemini variants amid rapid iteration in the large language model space. Prior Sonnet cadence—Sonnet 4.6 in February and 4.5 the prior September—suggests a 4-6 month cycle, though developers note that flagship Opus updates and competitive pressure from rival agentic benchmarks could accelerate or delay the follow-on release. Key near-term catalysts include any Anthropic developer conference signals or new safety/capability system cards that historically precede major drops.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiNext Claude Sonnet released by...?
Next Claude Sonnet released by...?
$11,980 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
50%
October 31
80%
December 31
98%
$11,980 Vol.
September 30
$92 Vol.
50%
October 31
$4,416 Vol.
80%
December 31
$3,733 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s June 30, 2026 launch of Claude Sonnet 5, positioned as the most agentic midsize model yet with strong gains in reasoning, tool use, coding, and autonomous task performance close to Opus 4.8 at lower cost, sets the baseline for trader expectations on the next Sonnet release. The model’s 1M-token context, adaptive thinking by default, and permanent introductory pricing reflect Anthropic’s push to compete on capability-per-dollar against OpenAI’s GPT lineup and Google’s Gemini variants amid rapid iteration in the large language model space. Prior Sonnet cadence—Sonnet 4.6 in February and 4.5 the prior September—suggests a 4-6 month cycle, though developers note that flagship Opus updates and competitive pressure from rival agentic benchmarks could accelerate or delay the follow-on release. Key near-term catalysts include any Anthropic developer conference signals or new safety/capability system cards that historically precede major drops.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 3, 2026, 9:06 AM ET
Volume
$11,980Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Sep 3, 2026, 9:06 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s June 30, 2026 launch of Claude Sonnet 5, positioned as the most agentic midsize model yet with strong gains in reasoning, tool use, coding, and autonomous task performance close to Opus 4.8 at lower cost, sets the baseline for trader expectations on the next Sonnet release. The model’s 1M-token context, adaptive thinking by default, and permanent introductory pricing reflect Anthropic’s push to compete on capability-per-dollar against OpenAI’s GPT lineup and Google’s Gemini variants amid rapid iteration in the large language model space. Prior Sonnet cadence—Sonnet 4.6 in February and 4.5 the prior September—suggests a 4-6 month cycle, though developers note that flagship Opus updates and competitive pressure from rival agentic benchmarks could accelerate or delay the follow-on release. Key near-term catalysts include any Anthropic developer conference signals or new safety/capability system cards that historically precede major drops.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$11,980Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Sep 3, 2026, 9:06 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s June 30, 2026 launch of Claude Sonnet 5, positioned as the most agentic midsize model yet with strong gains in reasoning, tool use, coding, and autonomous task performance close to Opus 4.8 at lower cost, sets the baseline for trader expectations on the next Sonnet release. The model’s 1M-token context, adaptive thinking by default, and permanent introductory pricing reflect Anthropic’s push to compete on capability-per-dollar against OpenAI’s GPT lineup and Google’s Gemini variants amid rapid iteration in the large language model space. Prior Sonnet cadence—Sonnet 4.6 in February and 4.5 the prior September—suggests a 4-6 month cycle, though developers note that flagship Opus updates and competitive pressure from rival agentic benchmarks could accelerate or delay the follow-on release. Key near-term catalysts include any Anthropic developer conference signals or new safety/capability system cards that historically precede major drops.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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