Anthropic's strong positioning at 67% reflects its Claude models, particularly Opus 5, consistently topping coding benchmarks like SWE-Bench and human-preference leaderboards through mid-2026, driven by specialized post-training for reasoning and enterprise tasks. Recent July releases reinforced this edge over competitors, with traders viewing the company's focused approach and safety emphasis as durable advantages heading into year-end. xAI's 13% share stems from Grok 4.6's rapid August iteration and real-time capabilities via X data, while OpenAI and Google trail at single digits amid ecosystem strengths but less decisive benchmark wins. With resolution in four months, further model updates could still shift the tight race among frontier labs.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiAnthropic 67%
xAI 13.4%
OpenAI 9%
Google 6%
$711,164 Vol.
$711,164 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
Anthropic
67%
xAI
13%
OpenAI
9%
6%
Meta
3%
Moonshot
1%
DeepSeek
1%
Alibaba
1%
Z.ai
1%
ByteDance
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Anthropic 67%
xAI 13.4%
OpenAI 9%
Google 6%
$711,164 Vol.
$711,164 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
Anthropic
$78,980 Vol.
67%
xAI
$56,292 Vol.
13%
OpenAI
$58,373 Vol.
9%
$38,440 Vol.
6%
Meta
$48,160 Vol.
3%
Moonshot
$52,355 Vol.
1%
DeepSeek
$50,415 Vol.
1%
Alibaba
$44,616 Vol.
1%
Z.ai
$45,964 Vol.
1%
ByteDance
$55,570 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$36,846 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$40,377 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$35,992 Vol.
<1%
Baidu
$31,676 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$37,108 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's strong positioning at 67% reflects its Claude models, particularly Opus 5, consistently topping coding benchmarks like SWE-Bench and human-preference leaderboards through mid-2026, driven by specialized post-training for reasoning and enterprise tasks. Recent July releases reinforced this edge over competitors, with traders viewing the company's focused approach and safety emphasis as durable advantages heading into year-end. xAI's 13% share stems from Grok 4.6's rapid August iteration and real-time capabilities via X data, while OpenAI and Google trail at single digits amid ecosystem strengths but less decisive benchmark wins. With resolution in four months, further model updates could still shift the tight race among frontier labs.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 4, 2026, 1:39 PM ET
Volume
$711,164Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 4, 2026, 1:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's strong positioning at 67% reflects its Claude models, particularly Opus 5, consistently topping coding benchmarks like SWE-Bench and human-preference leaderboards through mid-2026, driven by specialized post-training for reasoning and enterprise tasks. Recent July releases reinforced this edge over competitors, with traders viewing the company's focused approach and safety emphasis as durable advantages heading into year-end. xAI's 13% share stems from Grok 4.6's rapid August iteration and real-time capabilities via X data, while OpenAI and Google trail at single digits amid ecosystem strengths but less decisive benchmark wins. With resolution in four months, further model updates could still shift the tight race among frontier labs.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volume
$711,164Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 4, 2026, 1:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's strong positioning at 67% reflects its Claude models, particularly Opus 5, consistently topping coding benchmarks like SWE-Bench and human-preference leaderboards through mid-2026, driven by specialized post-training for reasoning and enterprise tasks. Recent July releases reinforced this edge over competitors, with traders viewing the company's focused approach and safety emphasis as durable advantages heading into year-end. xAI's 13% share stems from Grok 4.6's rapid August iteration and real-time capabilities via X data, while OpenAI and Google trail at single digits amid ecosystem strengths but less decisive benchmark wins. With resolution in four months, further model updates could still shift the tight race among frontier labs.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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