Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency issued on August 18 project a 24°C minimum temperature in Tokyo for August 19 under mostly cloudy conditions with limited overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with typical late-summer climatology, where high humidity near 75-80% and urban heat island effects in the Tokyo metropolitan area usually keep overnight lows around 24°C rather than allowing sharper drops. Trader positioning favoring 24-25°C as the top outcomes reflects model consensus on these stable synoptic patterns, with minimal recent shifts in guidance and low probability of anomalous cooling or warming before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 19?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 19?
25°C 49%
24°C 39%
23°C 7%
26°C 5%
BARU
BARU
Aug 19, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
7%
24°C
39%
25°C
49%
26°C
5%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 49%
24°C 39%
23°C 7%
26°C 5%
BARU
BARU
Aug 19, 2026
20°C or below
$118 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$86 Vol.
1%
22°C
$108 Vol.
2%
23°C
$286 Vol.
7%
24°C
$392 Vol.
39%
25°C
$1,610 Vol.
49%
26°C
$585 Vol.
5%
27°C
$118 Vol.
2%
28°C
$86 Vol.
1%
29°C
$81 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$104 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency issued on August 18 project a 24°C minimum temperature in Tokyo for August 19 under mostly cloudy conditions with limited overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with typical late-summer climatology, where high humidity near 75-80% and urban heat island effects in the Tokyo metropolitan area usually keep overnight lows around 24°C rather than allowing sharper drops. Trader positioning favoring 24-25°C as the top outcomes reflects model consensus on these stable synoptic patterns, with minimal recent shifts in guidance and low probability of anomalous cooling or warming before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$3,575Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency issued on August 18 project a 24°C minimum temperature in Tokyo for August 19 under mostly cloudy conditions with limited overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with typical late-summer climatology, where high humidity near 75-80% and urban heat island effects in the Tokyo metropolitan area usually keep overnight lows around 24°C rather than allowing sharper drops. Trader positioning favoring 24-25°C as the top outcomes reflects model consensus on these stable synoptic patterns, with minimal recent shifts in guidance and low probability of anomalous cooling or warming before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,575Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency issued on August 18 project a 24°C minimum temperature in Tokyo for August 19 under mostly cloudy conditions with limited overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with typical late-summer climatology, where high humidity near 75-80% and urban heat island effects in the Tokyo metropolitan area usually keep overnight lows around 24°C rather than allowing sharper drops. Trader positioning favoring 24-25°C as the top outcomes reflects model consensus on these stable synoptic patterns, with minimal recent shifts in guidance and low probability of anomalous cooling or warming before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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