Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather place Miami’s overnight low for August 18 near 80–81 °F under persistent subtropical high pressure, light easterly flow, and elevated humidity that suppresses radiative cooling. This aligns with the market’s 57.5 % implied probability for the 80–81 °F bin and secondary support for 78–79 °F, matching August climatology where daily minima average 78–82 °F. Recent model runs show little day-to-day variability absent tropical systems or frontal passages, keeping probabilities stable. Traders weight the consensus guidance heavily while noting that unexpected cloud cover or a wind shift could nudge the minimum slightly lower within the resolution ranges.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Miami on August 18?
Lowest temperature in Miami on August 18?
80-81°F 57%
78-79°F 24%
82-83°F 18%
74-75°F 3%
BARU
BARU
Aug 18, 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
24%
80-81°F
57%
82-83°F
14%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
1%
80-81°F 57%
78-79°F 24%
82-83°F 18%
74-75°F 3%
BARU
BARU
Aug 18, 2026
69°F or below
$145 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$194 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$323 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$586 Vol.
3%
76-77°F
$693 Vol.
2%
78-79°F
$470 Vol.
24%
80-81°F
$250 Vol.
57%
82-83°F
$370 Vol.
14%
84-85°F
$206 Vol.
2%
86-87°F
$273 Vol.
<1%
88°F or higher
$203 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather place Miami’s overnight low for August 18 near 80–81 °F under persistent subtropical high pressure, light easterly flow, and elevated humidity that suppresses radiative cooling. This aligns with the market’s 57.5 % implied probability for the 80–81 °F bin and secondary support for 78–79 °F, matching August climatology where daily minima average 78–82 °F. Recent model runs show little day-to-day variability absent tropical systems or frontal passages, keeping probabilities stable. Traders weight the consensus guidance heavily while noting that unexpected cloud cover or a wind shift could nudge the minimum slightly lower within the resolution ranges.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 16, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Volume
$3,713Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 16, 2026, 9:28 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather place Miami’s overnight low for August 18 near 80–81 °F under persistent subtropical high pressure, light easterly flow, and elevated humidity that suppresses radiative cooling. This aligns with the market’s 57.5 % implied probability for the 80–81 °F bin and secondary support for 78–79 °F, matching August climatology where daily minima average 78–82 °F. Recent model runs show little day-to-day variability absent tropical systems or frontal passages, keeping probabilities stable. Traders weight the consensus guidance heavily while noting that unexpected cloud cover or a wind shift could nudge the minimum slightly lower within the resolution ranges.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,713Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 16, 2026, 9:28 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather place Miami’s overnight low for August 18 near 80–81 °F under persistent subtropical high pressure, light easterly flow, and elevated humidity that suppresses radiative cooling. This aligns with the market’s 57.5 % implied probability for the 80–81 °F bin and secondary support for 78–79 °F, matching August climatology where daily minima average 78–82 °F. Recent model runs show little day-to-day variability absent tropical systems or frontal passages, keeping probabilities stable. Traders weight the consensus guidance heavily while noting that unexpected cloud cover or a wind shift could nudge the minimum slightly lower within the resolution ranges.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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