Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and international models show a transition to northerly winds and overcast conditions with light rain expected over Beijing on September 7, 2026, driving potential overnight lows toward 15–17°C. This reflects seasonal autumn cooling amplified by cold-air advection and reduced radiative warming under cloud cover, contrasting with the prior warm, sunny pattern. Historical September averages place typical lows near 18°C, but current model runs emphasize the frontal influence and higher precipitation probability, creating uncertainty around exact thresholds. These dynamics underpin the closely matched market-implied odds, with traders weighting the cooler scenario while awaiting updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Beijing on September 7?
Lowest temperature in Beijing on September 7?
15°C or below 69%
25°C or higher 59%
16°C 49%
20°C 49%
BARU
BARU
Sep 7, 2026
15°C or below
69%
16°C
49%
17°C
30%
18°C
31%
19°C
26%
20°C
49%
21°C
2%
22°C
49%
23°C
19%
24°C
19%
25°C or higher
59%
15°C or below 69%
25°C or higher 59%
16°C 49%
20°C 49%
BARU
BARU
Sep 7, 2026
15°C or below
$0 Vol.
69%
16°C
$0 Vol.
49%
17°C
$0 Vol.
30%
18°C
$0 Vol.
31%
19°C
$0 Vol.
26%
20°C
$0 Vol.
49%
21°C
$0 Vol.
2%
22°C
$0 Vol.
49%
23°C
$0 Vol.
19%
24°C
$0 Vol.
19%
25°C or higher
$0 Vol.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and international models show a transition to northerly winds and overcast conditions with light rain expected over Beijing on September 7, 2026, driving potential overnight lows toward 15–17°C. This reflects seasonal autumn cooling amplified by cold-air advection and reduced radiative warming under cloud cover, contrasting with the prior warm, sunny pattern. Historical September averages place typical lows near 18°C, but current model runs emphasize the frontal influence and higher precipitation probability, creating uncertainty around exact thresholds. These dynamics underpin the closely matched market-implied odds, with traders weighting the cooler scenario while awaiting updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 7, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and international models show a transition to northerly winds and overcast conditions with light rain expected over Beijing on September 7, 2026, driving potential overnight lows toward 15–17°C. This reflects seasonal autumn cooling amplified by cold-air advection and reduced radiative warming under cloud cover, contrasting with the prior warm, sunny pattern. Historical September averages place typical lows near 18°C, but current model runs emphasize the frontal influence and higher precipitation probability, creating uncertainty around exact thresholds. These dynamics underpin the closely matched market-implied odds, with traders weighting the cooler scenario while awaiting updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 7, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and international models show a transition to northerly winds and overcast conditions with light rain expected over Beijing on September 7, 2026, driving potential overnight lows toward 15–17°C. This reflects seasonal autumn cooling amplified by cold-air advection and reduced radiative warming under cloud cover, contrasting with the prior warm, sunny pattern. Historical September averages place typical lows near 18°C, but current model runs emphasize the frontal influence and higher precipitation probability, creating uncertainty around exact thresholds. These dynamics underpin the closely matched market-implied odds, with traders weighting the cooler scenario while awaiting updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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