Recent short-range forecasts from the UK Met Office, AccuWeather, and regional Mediterranean models project a daytime maximum of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 19 under stable late-summer conditions of abundant sunshine, light westerly flow, and coastal sea-breeze moderation that limits further warming. This narrow ensemble consensus, aligned with typical August climatology near 30–31°C yet slightly elevated by persistent high pressure, underpins the market’s strong weighting toward 32°C at 62.5% implied probability and 31°C at 30.5%. Minimal model spread and absence of anomalous heat advection or subsidence keep 33°C or higher at low single-digit odds, while any morning model updates represent the primary near-term catalyst before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 19?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 19?
32°C 63%
31°C 31%
33°C 7%
30°C 3.1%
BARU
BARU
Aug 19, 2026
29°C or below
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
31%
32°C
63%
33°C
7%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 63%
31°C 31%
33°C 7%
30°C 3.1%
BARU
BARU
Aug 19, 2026
29°C or below
$573 Vol.
1%
30°C
$533 Vol.
3%
31°C
$859 Vol.
31%
32°C
$814 Vol.
63%
33°C
$302 Vol.
7%
34°C
$239 Vol.
1%
35°C
$177 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$287 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$377 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$256 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$256 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from the UK Met Office, AccuWeather, and regional Mediterranean models project a daytime maximum of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 19 under stable late-summer conditions of abundant sunshine, light westerly flow, and coastal sea-breeze moderation that limits further warming. This narrow ensemble consensus, aligned with typical August climatology near 30–31°C yet slightly elevated by persistent high pressure, underpins the market’s strong weighting toward 32°C at 62.5% implied probability and 31°C at 30.5%. Minimal model spread and absence of anomalous heat advection or subsidence keep 33°C or higher at low single-digit odds, while any morning model updates represent the primary near-term catalyst before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$4,673Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from the UK Met Office, AccuWeather, and regional Mediterranean models project a daytime maximum of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 19 under stable late-summer conditions of abundant sunshine, light westerly flow, and coastal sea-breeze moderation that limits further warming. This narrow ensemble consensus, aligned with typical August climatology near 30–31°C yet slightly elevated by persistent high pressure, underpins the market’s strong weighting toward 32°C at 62.5% implied probability and 31°C at 30.5%. Minimal model spread and absence of anomalous heat advection or subsidence keep 33°C or higher at low single-digit odds, while any morning model updates represent the primary near-term catalyst before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,673Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from the UK Met Office, AccuWeather, and regional Mediterranean models project a daytime maximum of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 19 under stable late-summer conditions of abundant sunshine, light westerly flow, and coastal sea-breeze moderation that limits further warming. This narrow ensemble consensus, aligned with typical August climatology near 30–31°C yet slightly elevated by persistent high pressure, underpins the market’s strong weighting toward 32°C at 62.5% implied probability and 31°C at 30.5%. Minimal model spread and absence of anomalous heat advection or subsidence keep 33°C or higher at low single-digit odds, while any morning model updates represent the primary near-term catalyst before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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