Recent short-range forecasts from the UK Met Office and regional Mediterranean models project a daytime maximum of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 18 under stable mid-August conditions with light winds and typical coastal sea-breeze moderation. This narrow ensemble consensus, showing minimal spread and no anomalous heat dome or strong subsidence, positions 32°C (58% implied probability) and 31°C (37.5%) as the clear leaders well above the historical August average near 30°C. Official monitoring notes ongoing heat-stress conditions inland but limited coastal warming, keeping 33°C or higher at low probability. Updated model runs tomorrow morning represent the key near-term catalyst before market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 18?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 18?
32°C 59%
31°C 38%
33°C 6%
30°C 2%
BARU
$11,729 Vol.
BARU
$11,729 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
38%
32°C
59%
33°C
6%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 59%
31°C 38%
33°C 6%
30°C 2%
BARU
$11,729 Vol.
BARU
$11,729 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
28°C or below
$1,442 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$576 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,067 Vol.
2%
31°C
$2,046 Vol.
38%
32°C
$2,485 Vol.
59%
33°C
$1,029 Vol.
6%
34°C
$881 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$1,024 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$311 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$326 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$542 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from the UK Met Office and regional Mediterranean models project a daytime maximum of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 18 under stable mid-August conditions with light winds and typical coastal sea-breeze moderation. This narrow ensemble consensus, showing minimal spread and no anomalous heat dome or strong subsidence, positions 32°C (58% implied probability) and 31°C (37.5%) as the clear leaders well above the historical August average near 30°C. Official monitoring notes ongoing heat-stress conditions inland but limited coastal warming, keeping 33°C or higher at low probability. Updated model runs tomorrow morning represent the key near-term catalyst before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$11,729Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from the UK Met Office and regional Mediterranean models project a daytime maximum of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 18 under stable mid-August conditions with light winds and typical coastal sea-breeze moderation. This narrow ensemble consensus, showing minimal spread and no anomalous heat dome or strong subsidence, positions 32°C (58% implied probability) and 31°C (37.5%) as the clear leaders well above the historical August average near 30°C. Official monitoring notes ongoing heat-stress conditions inland but limited coastal warming, keeping 33°C or higher at low probability. Updated model runs tomorrow morning represent the key near-term catalyst before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,729Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from the UK Met Office and regional Mediterranean models project a daytime maximum of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 18 under stable mid-August conditions with light winds and typical coastal sea-breeze moderation. This narrow ensemble consensus, showing minimal spread and no anomalous heat dome or strong subsidence, positions 32°C (58% implied probability) and 31°C (37.5%) as the clear leaders well above the historical August average near 30°C. Official monitoring notes ongoing heat-stress conditions inland but limited coastal warming, keeping 33°C or higher at low probability. Updated model runs tomorrow morning represent the key near-term catalyst before market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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