Official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global models including GFS and ECMWF converge on a maximum of 29–31 °C for Istanbul on August 18, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes clustered around 30 °C (39.5% implied probability). Summer climatology in the region features typical Mediterranean conditions with abundant sunshine, moderate humidity, and light southerly or variable winds that limit rapid warming or cooling. Recent model runs show no strong heat advection or frontal passages expected to push temperatures above 31 °C or below 29 °C, keeping extremes low-probability. Historical August highs average near 28–30 °C, providing a baseline that current guidance reinforces without notable deviations. Updated model outputs and local observations tomorrow morning will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 18?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 18?
30°C 40%
29°C 26%
31°C 24%
28°C 8%
BARU
$27,637 Vol.
BARU
$27,637 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
8%
29°C
26%
30°C
40%
31°C
24%
32°C
7%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 40%
29°C 26%
31°C 24%
28°C 8%
BARU
$27,637 Vol.
BARU
$27,637 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
24°C or below
$292 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,140 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$864 Vol.
1%
27°C
$1,679 Vol.
2%
28°C
$2,231 Vol.
8%
29°C
$4,699 Vol.
26%
30°C
$4,455 Vol.
40%
31°C
$5,748 Vol.
24%
32°C
$2,889 Vol.
7%
33°C
$1,769 Vol.
1%
34°C or higher
$1,869 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global models including GFS and ECMWF converge on a maximum of 29–31 °C for Istanbul on August 18, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes clustered around 30 °C (39.5% implied probability). Summer climatology in the region features typical Mediterranean conditions with abundant sunshine, moderate humidity, and light southerly or variable winds that limit rapid warming or cooling. Recent model runs show no strong heat advection or frontal passages expected to push temperatures above 31 °C or below 29 °C, keeping extremes low-probability. Historical August highs average near 28–30 °C, providing a baseline that current guidance reinforces without notable deviations. Updated model outputs and local observations tomorrow morning will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$27,637Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global models including GFS and ECMWF converge on a maximum of 29–31 °C for Istanbul on August 18, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes clustered around 30 °C (39.5% implied probability). Summer climatology in the region features typical Mediterranean conditions with abundant sunshine, moderate humidity, and light southerly or variable winds that limit rapid warming or cooling. Recent model runs show no strong heat advection or frontal passages expected to push temperatures above 31 °C or below 29 °C, keeping extremes low-probability. Historical August highs average near 28–30 °C, providing a baseline that current guidance reinforces without notable deviations. Updated model outputs and local observations tomorrow morning will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$27,637Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global models including GFS and ECMWF converge on a maximum of 29–31 °C for Istanbul on August 18, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes clustered around 30 °C (39.5% implied probability). Summer climatology in the region features typical Mediterranean conditions with abundant sunshine, moderate humidity, and light southerly or variable winds that limit rapid warming or cooling. Recent model runs show no strong heat advection or frontal passages expected to push temperatures above 31 °C or below 29 °C, keeping extremes low-probability. Historical August highs average near 28–30 °C, providing a baseline that current guidance reinforces without notable deviations. Updated model outputs and local observations tomorrow morning will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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