Current meteorological forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a maximum of 23°C for Moscow on August 18, driven by stable late-summer synoptic patterns with light southerly flow and limited cloud cover. This aligns with the market-implied 50% probability on 23°C and 38% on 22°C, reflecting model consensus on modest diurnal warming without significant advection of warmer air masses. Historical August averages near 22°C provide context, while minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing or overnight clearing could shift the peak by 1°C. Updated high-resolution runs overnight will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Moscow on August 18?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 18?
23°C 51%
22°C 38%
24°C 7%
21°C 6%
BARU
$10,209 Vol.
BARU
$10,209 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
6%
22°C
38%
23°C
51%
24°C
7%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 51%
22°C 38%
24°C 7%
21°C 6%
BARU
$10,209 Vol.
BARU
$10,209 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
18°C or below
$665 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,612 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$733 Vol.
2%
21°C
$1,099 Vol.
6%
22°C
$819 Vol.
38%
23°C
$1,206 Vol.
51%
24°C
$1,463 Vol.
7%
25°C
$769 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$419 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,138 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$286 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a maximum of 23°C for Moscow on August 18, driven by stable late-summer synoptic patterns with light southerly flow and limited cloud cover. This aligns with the market-implied 50% probability on 23°C and 38% on 22°C, reflecting model consensus on modest diurnal warming without significant advection of warmer air masses. Historical August averages near 22°C provide context, while minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing or overnight clearing could shift the peak by 1°C. Updated high-resolution runs overnight will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$10,209Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a maximum of 23°C for Moscow on August 18, driven by stable late-summer synoptic patterns with light southerly flow and limited cloud cover. This aligns with the market-implied 50% probability on 23°C and 38% on 22°C, reflecting model consensus on modest diurnal warming without significant advection of warmer air masses. Historical August averages near 22°C provide context, while minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing or overnight clearing could shift the peak by 1°C. Updated high-resolution runs overnight will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,209Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a maximum of 23°C for Moscow on August 18, driven by stable late-summer synoptic patterns with light southerly flow and limited cloud cover. This aligns with the market-implied 50% probability on 23°C and 38% on 22°C, reflecting model consensus on modest diurnal warming without significant advection of warmer air masses. Historical August averages near 22°C provide context, while minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing or overnight clearing could shift the peak by 1°C. Updated high-resolution runs overnight will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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