**Official station observations from Austin on August 29, 2026, recorded a daily maximum in the upper 90s, with multiple sites reporting 99–100°F under mostly sunny skies and light southerly winds.** This aligns with the market’s near-certain 98-99°F outcome, reflecting the consensus of National Weather Service data and historical patterns for late-August highs averaging around 95°F. Persistent regional heat but no extreme advection or clear-sky intensification pushed readings just into this narrow band rather than the low 100s. The 0.1% probability on 100-101°F accounts for possible station-to-station variance or post-event data revisions, though current verified maxima make such outcomes highly improbable.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Austin on August 29?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 29?
98-99°F 100.0%
89°F or below <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$21,501 Vol.
$21,501 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
89°F or below
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
Yes
100-101°F
No
102-103°F
No
104-105°F
No
106-107°F
No
108°F or higher
No
98-99°F 100.0%
89°F or below <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$21,501 Vol.
$21,501 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
89°F or below
$2,299 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$574 Vol.
No
92-93°F
$395 Vol.
No
94-95°F
$1,246 Vol.
No
96-97°F
$3,668 Vol.
No
98-99°F
$6,622 Vol.
Yes
100-101°F
$4,426 Vol.
No
102-103°F
$1,572 Vol.
No
104-105°F
$312 Vol.
No
106-107°F
$120 Vol.
No
108°F or higher
$267 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official station observations from Austin on August 29, 2026, recorded a daily maximum in the upper 90s, with multiple sites reporting 99–100°F under mostly sunny skies and light southerly winds.** This aligns with the market’s near-certain 98-99°F outcome, reflecting the consensus of National Weather Service data and historical patterns for late-August highs averaging around 95°F. Persistent regional heat but no extreme advection or clear-sky intensification pushed readings just into this narrow band rather than the low 100s. The 0.1% probability on 100-101°F accounts for possible station-to-station variance or post-event data revisions, though current verified maxima make such outcomes highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$21,501Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official station observations from Austin on August 29, 2026, recorded a daily maximum in the upper 90s, with multiple sites reporting 99–100°F under mostly sunny skies and light southerly winds.** This aligns with the market’s near-certain 98-99°F outcome, reflecting the consensus of National Weather Service data and historical patterns for late-August highs averaging around 95°F. Persistent regional heat but no extreme advection or clear-sky intensification pushed readings just into this narrow band rather than the low 100s. The 0.1% probability on 100-101°F accounts for possible station-to-station variance or post-event data revisions, though current verified maxima make such outcomes highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$21,501Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
**Official station observations from Austin on August 29, 2026, recorded a daily maximum in the upper 90s, with multiple sites reporting 99–100°F under mostly sunny skies and light southerly winds.** This aligns with the market’s near-certain 98-99°F outcome, reflecting the consensus of National Weather Service data and historical patterns for late-August highs averaging around 95°F. Persistent regional heat but no extreme advection or clear-sky intensification pushed readings just into this narrow band rather than the low 100s. The 0.1% probability on 100-101°F accounts for possible station-to-station variance or post-event data revisions, though current verified maxima make such outcomes highly improbable.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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