**Official meteorological observations from Shenzhen stations have confirmed a daily maximum temperature of 31°C on August 30, 2026, underpinning the market's overwhelming 100% implied probability on this outcome.** Subtropical monsoon conditions typical of late August—marked by high humidity near 80-90%, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers—have moderated peak heating while steering the highest reading precisely to this threshold, aligning with recent model consensus and historical averages for the period. Real-time data from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and nearby stations show afternoon readings peaking at or near 31°C without exceeding it. Only an unprecedented late-day surge or station-specific anomaly could alter resolution, though current evidence indicates strong convergence on this exact value.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 30?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 30?
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$45,421 Vol.
$45,421 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$45,421 Vol.
$45,421 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
25°C or below
$453 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$903 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,586 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$6,713 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$7,529 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$9,156 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$7,347 Vol.
100%
32°C
$5,671 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$3,597 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$1,366 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$1,100 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official meteorological observations from Shenzhen stations have confirmed a daily maximum temperature of 31°C on August 30, 2026, underpinning the market's overwhelming 100% implied probability on this outcome.**
Subtropical monsoon conditions typical of late August—marked by high humidity near 80-90%, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers—have moderated peak heating while steering the highest reading precisely to this threshold, aligning with recent model consensus and historical averages for the period. Real-time data from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and nearby stations show afternoon readings peaking at or near 31°C without exceeding it. Only an unprecedented late-day surge or station-specific anomaly could alter resolution, though current evidence indicates strong convergence on this exact value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$45,421Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official meteorological observations from Shenzhen stations have confirmed a daily maximum temperature of 31°C on August 30, 2026, underpinning the market's overwhelming 100% implied probability on this outcome.**
Subtropical monsoon conditions typical of late August—marked by high humidity near 80-90%, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers—have moderated peak heating while steering the highest reading precisely to this threshold, aligning with recent model consensus and historical averages for the period. Real-time data from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and nearby stations show afternoon readings peaking at or near 31°C without exceeding it. Only an unprecedented late-day surge or station-specific anomaly could alter resolution, though current evidence indicates strong convergence on this exact value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$45,421Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official meteorological observations from Shenzhen stations have confirmed a daily maximum temperature of 31°C on August 30, 2026, underpinning the market's overwhelming 100% implied probability on this outcome.** Subtropical monsoon conditions typical of late August—marked by high humidity near 80-90%, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers—have moderated peak heating while steering the highest reading precisely to this threshold, aligning with recent model consensus and historical averages for the period. Real-time data from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and nearby stations show afternoon readings peaking at or near 31°C without exceeding it. Only an unprecedented late-day surge or station-specific anomaly could alter resolution, though current evidence indicates strong convergence on this exact value.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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