Latest National Weather Service and private model guidance for New York City on September 1 points to a humid, showery day with southwest flow and 60-70% rain chances that should cap afternoon highs in the mid-80s. WeatherBug’s 10-day forecast explicitly lists an 87°F high under partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered storms, while other runs range 82-84°F depending on how quickly cloud cover builds and whether heavier rain arrives before peak heating. These conditions explain the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 84-87°F bins, as small differences in precipitation timing or convective intensity can shift the daily maximum by 2-3°F. With resolution just two days away, updates from the National Weather Service and ensemble guidance on cloud and storm evolution will remain the key drivers of any further market movement.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in NYC on September 1?
Highest temperature in NYC on September 1?
84-85°F 35%
86-87°F 29%
88-89°F 28%
82-83°F 27%
BARU
BARU
Sep 1, 2026
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
10%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
15%
82-83°F
27%
84-85°F
25%
86-87°F
29%
88-89°F
28%
90-91°F
19%
92°F or higher
10%
84-85°F 35%
86-87°F 29%
88-89°F 28%
82-83°F 27%
BARU
BARU
Sep 1, 2026
73°F or below
$0 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
6%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
10%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
7%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
15%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
27%
84-85°F
$14 Vol.
25%
86-87°F
$33 Vol.
29%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
28%
90-91°F
$0 Vol.
19%
92°F or higher
$10 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and private model guidance for New York City on September 1 points to a humid, showery day with southwest flow and 60-70% rain chances that should cap afternoon highs in the mid-80s. WeatherBug’s 10-day forecast explicitly lists an 87°F high under partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered storms, while other runs range 82-84°F depending on how quickly cloud cover builds and whether heavier rain arrives before peak heating. These conditions explain the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 84-87°F bins, as small differences in precipitation timing or convective intensity can shift the daily maximum by 2-3°F. With resolution just two days away, updates from the National Weather Service and ensemble guidance on cloud and storm evolution will remain the key drivers of any further market movement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 30, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$58Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 30, 2026, 3:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and private model guidance for New York City on September 1 points to a humid, showery day with southwest flow and 60-70% rain chances that should cap afternoon highs in the mid-80s. WeatherBug’s 10-day forecast explicitly lists an 87°F high under partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered storms, while other runs range 82-84°F depending on how quickly cloud cover builds and whether heavier rain arrives before peak heating. These conditions explain the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 84-87°F bins, as small differences in precipitation timing or convective intensity can shift the daily maximum by 2-3°F. With resolution just two days away, updates from the National Weather Service and ensemble guidance on cloud and storm evolution will remain the key drivers of any further market movement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$58Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 30, 2026, 3:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and private model guidance for New York City on September 1 points to a humid, showery day with southwest flow and 60-70% rain chances that should cap afternoon highs in the mid-80s. WeatherBug’s 10-day forecast explicitly lists an 87°F high under partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered storms, while other runs range 82-84°F depending on how quickly cloud cover builds and whether heavier rain arrives before peak heating. These conditions explain the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 84-87°F bins, as small differences in precipitation timing or convective intensity can shift the daily maximum by 2-3°F. With resolution just two days away, updates from the National Weather Service and ensemble guidance on cloud and storm evolution will remain the key drivers of any further market movement.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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