Official NWS forecasts project a high near 81-82°F for New York City on August 31, supporting the market's leading 80-81°F outcome at 40.5% implied probability. Cooler northwest flow following Sunday's activity, combined with partly to mostly cloudy skies and light variable winds shifting southeast, is expected to limit daytime heating and cap temperatures in the low 80s. Recent model runs show minimal disagreement on these conditions, with any morning showers or increased afternoon cloud cover able to differentiate the closely matched 78-79°F bin. Updated guidance ahead of peak heating remains the key near-term catalyst.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in NYC on August 31?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 31?
80-81°F 41%
78-79°F 36%
82-83°F 13%
76-77°F 7%
BARU
$10,396 Vol.
BARU
$10,396 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
36%
80-81°F
41%
82-83°F
13%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 41%
78-79°F 36%
82-83°F 13%
76-77°F 7%
BARU
$10,396 Vol.
BARU
$10,396 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
73°F or below
$302 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$217 Vol.
3%
76-77°F
$551 Vol.
7%
78-79°F
$1,971 Vol.
36%
80-81°F
$3,466 Vol.
41%
82-83°F
$994 Vol.
13%
84-85°F
$1,278 Vol.
4%
86-87°F
$270 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$340 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$325 Vol.
<1%
92°F or higher
$681 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official NWS forecasts project a high near 81-82°F for New York City on August 31, supporting the market's leading 80-81°F outcome at 40.5% implied probability. Cooler northwest flow following Sunday's activity, combined with partly to mostly cloudy skies and light variable winds shifting southeast, is expected to limit daytime heating and cap temperatures in the low 80s. Recent model runs show minimal disagreement on these conditions, with any morning showers or increased afternoon cloud cover able to differentiate the closely matched 78-79°F bin. Updated guidance ahead of peak heating remains the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 29, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volume
$10,396Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 29, 2026, 2:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official NWS forecasts project a high near 81-82°F for New York City on August 31, supporting the market's leading 80-81°F outcome at 40.5% implied probability. Cooler northwest flow following Sunday's activity, combined with partly to mostly cloudy skies and light variable winds shifting southeast, is expected to limit daytime heating and cap temperatures in the low 80s. Recent model runs show minimal disagreement on these conditions, with any morning showers or increased afternoon cloud cover able to differentiate the closely matched 78-79°F bin. Updated guidance ahead of peak heating remains the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,396Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 29, 2026, 2:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official NWS forecasts project a high near 81-82°F for New York City on August 31, supporting the market's leading 80-81°F outcome at 40.5% implied probability. Cooler northwest flow following Sunday's activity, combined with partly to mostly cloudy skies and light variable winds shifting southeast, is expected to limit daytime heating and cap temperatures in the low 80s. Recent model runs show minimal disagreement on these conditions, with any morning showers or increased afternoon cloud cover able to differentiate the closely matched 78-79°F bin. Updated guidance ahead of peak heating remains the key near-term catalyst.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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