Official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and converging numerical weather models have established a maximum temperature of 26°C in Ankara on August 30, driving the 97.5% market-implied odds for that outcome. Real-time surface observations under mostly cloudy skies with northerly flow have kept afternoon readings near or below this threshold, consistent with seasonal cooling trends as August transitions toward September norms around 30°C. Strong model agreement on limited insolation and modest wind speeds reinforces trader consensus, though minor station-specific variations or late-day adjustments in official reporting could theoretically shift resolution if thresholds are narrowly missed.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Ankara on August 30?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 30?
26°C 99%
27°C 1.8%
28°C <1%
21°C or below <1%
$55,441 Vol.
$55,441 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
99%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 99%
27°C 1.8%
28°C <1%
21°C or below <1%
$55,441 Vol.
$55,441 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
21°C or below
$1,751 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$3,609 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$3,223 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$7,538 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$29,445 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$4,782 Vol.
99%
27°C
$2,957 Vol.
2%
28°C
$1,216 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$480 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$225 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$215 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and converging numerical weather models have established a maximum temperature of 26°C in Ankara on August 30, driving the 97.5% market-implied odds for that outcome. Real-time surface observations under mostly cloudy skies with northerly flow have kept afternoon readings near or below this threshold, consistent with seasonal cooling trends as August transitions toward September norms around 30°C. Strong model agreement on limited insolation and modest wind speeds reinforces trader consensus, though minor station-specific variations or late-day adjustments in official reporting could theoretically shift resolution if thresholds are narrowly missed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$55,441Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and converging numerical weather models have established a maximum temperature of 26°C in Ankara on August 30, driving the 97.5% market-implied odds for that outcome. Real-time surface observations under mostly cloudy skies with northerly flow have kept afternoon readings near or below this threshold, consistent with seasonal cooling trends as August transitions toward September norms around 30°C. Strong model agreement on limited insolation and modest wind speeds reinforces trader consensus, though minor station-specific variations or late-day adjustments in official reporting could theoretically shift resolution if thresholds are narrowly missed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$55,441Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and converging numerical weather models have established a maximum temperature of 26°C in Ankara on August 30, driving the 97.5% market-implied odds for that outcome. Real-time surface observations under mostly cloudy skies with northerly flow have kept afternoon readings near or below this threshold, consistent with seasonal cooling trends as August transitions toward September norms around 30°C. Strong model agreement on limited insolation and modest wind speeds reinforces trader consensus, though minor station-specific variations or late-day adjustments in official reporting could theoretically shift resolution if thresholds are narrowly missed.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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