Current numerical weather model consensus points to overnight radiational cooling under clear skies and light northerly flow, yielding a forecast minimum of 13–15 °C for Ankara on 31 August. This reflects the city’s ~900 m elevation and typical late-summer continental pattern, where daytime highs near 27–29 °C give way to rapid nighttime drops. Recent days have trended slightly cooler than August climatology (historical average low ~16 °C), increasing the chance of a reading near or below 14 °C. Model spread and local microclimate effects introduce modest uncertainty around exact thresholds, supporting the market’s emphasis on the 11–14 °C outcomes while keeping warmer readings as lower-probability tails.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Ankara on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on August 31?
17°C 48%
11°C or below 41%
14°C 28%
12°C 27%
BARU
BARU
Aug 31, 2026
11°C or below
41%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
28%
15°C
24%
16°C
24%
17°C
48%
18°C
2%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
17°C 48%
11°C or below 41%
14°C 28%
12°C 27%
BARU
BARU
Aug 31, 2026
11°C or below
$0 Vol.
41%
12°C
$0 Vol.
27%
13°C
$0 Vol.
27%
14°C
$0 Vol.
28%
15°C
$0 Vol.
24%
16°C
$0 Vol.
24%
17°C
$5 Vol.
48%
18°C
$54 Vol.
2%
19°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather model consensus points to overnight radiational cooling under clear skies and light northerly flow, yielding a forecast minimum of 13–15 °C for Ankara on 31 August. This reflects the city’s ~900 m elevation and typical late-summer continental pattern, where daytime highs near 27–29 °C give way to rapid nighttime drops. Recent days have trended slightly cooler than August climatology (historical average low ~16 °C), increasing the chance of a reading near or below 14 °C. Model spread and local microclimate effects introduce modest uncertainty around exact thresholds, supporting the market’s emphasis on the 11–14 °C outcomes while keeping warmer readings as lower-probability tails.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$69Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather model consensus points to overnight radiational cooling under clear skies and light northerly flow, yielding a forecast minimum of 13–15 °C for Ankara on 31 August. This reflects the city’s ~900 m elevation and typical late-summer continental pattern, where daytime highs near 27–29 °C give way to rapid nighttime drops. Recent days have trended slightly cooler than August climatology (historical average low ~16 °C), increasing the chance of a reading near or below 14 °C. Model spread and local microclimate effects introduce modest uncertainty around exact thresholds, supporting the market’s emphasis on the 11–14 °C outcomes while keeping warmer readings as lower-probability tails.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$69Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather model consensus points to overnight radiational cooling under clear skies and light northerly flow, yielding a forecast minimum of 13–15 °C for Ankara on 31 August. This reflects the city’s ~900 m elevation and typical late-summer continental pattern, where daytime highs near 27–29 °C give way to rapid nighttime drops. Recent days have trended slightly cooler than August climatology (historical average low ~16 °C), increasing the chance of a reading near or below 14 °C. Model spread and local microclimate effects introduce modest uncertainty around exact thresholds, supporting the market’s emphasis on the 11–14 °C outcomes while keeping warmer readings as lower-probability tails.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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