Persistent cloud cover, widespread rainfall, and northerly winds have suppressed daytime heating across Guangzhou on August 30, 2026, keeping observed temperatures near 26°C with little recovery expected before evening. Multiple forecast models and official guidance align on a daily maximum at or below 27°C amid overcast skies and precipitation, consistent with the market-implied 99.7% probability for that outcome. This reflects atypical late-August cooling from regional moisture transport rather than the historical 33°C average high. Only an unexpected rapid clearing of clouds could allow sufficient solar radiation to push readings higher, though current observations and model consensus make that scenario unlikely before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 30?
27°C or below 99.7%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$75,415 Vol.
$75,415 Vol.
27°C or below
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
27°C or below 99.7%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$75,415 Vol.
$75,415 Vol.
27°C or below
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, widespread rainfall, and northerly winds have suppressed daytime heating across Guangzhou on August 30, 2026, keeping observed temperatures near 26°C with little recovery expected before evening. Multiple forecast models and official guidance align on a daily maximum at or below 27°C amid overcast skies and precipitation, consistent with the market-implied 99.7% probability for that outcome. This reflects atypical late-August cooling from regional moisture transport rather than the historical 33°C average high. Only an unexpected rapid clearing of clouds could allow sufficient solar radiation to push readings higher, though current observations and model consensus make that scenario unlikely before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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