Persistent cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms driven by a broad low-pressure trough over Guangdong and the northern South China Sea are suppressing daytime insolation and convective heating across Hong Kong, keeping maximum temperatures aligned with the market's near-certain 30°C outcome. Official HKO guidance and regional observations indicate highs around 30–31°C amid high humidity (75–95%) and frequent precipitation, consistent with late-August climatology where cloudiness routinely caps peaks near this level. Minor shifts in storm timing or reduced rainfall could briefly enhance solar heating and push readings to 31°C, though current model consensus and ongoing unsettled conditions make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 30?
30°C 99.8%
31°C <1%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
$88,624 Vol.
$88,624 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 99.8%
31°C <1%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
$88,624 Vol.
$88,624 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms driven by a broad low-pressure trough over Guangdong and the northern South China Sea are suppressing daytime insolation and convective heating across Hong Kong, keeping maximum temperatures aligned with the market's near-certain 30°C outcome. Official HKO guidance and regional observations indicate highs around 30–31°C amid high humidity (75–95%) and frequent precipitation, consistent with late-August climatology where cloudiness routinely caps peaks near this level. Minor shifts in storm timing or reduced rainfall could briefly enhance solar heating and push readings to 31°C, though current model consensus and ongoing unsettled conditions make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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