**Official Central Weather Administration forecasts set Taipei’s daily maximum at 35°C for August 30, 2026, with daytime ranges of 27–35°C under partly cloudy skies and a chance of afternoon thundershowers.** This aligns with observed midday readings climbing into the low 30s°C and typical late-August heat buildup before convective activity develops. Traders assign near-certain probability to exactly 35°C because the forecast threshold matches the expected peak under prevailing atmospheric conditions, including moderate southeasterly flow and sufficient insolation before any showers. Historical August climatology for Taipei centers on highs near 32°C, so the current outlook represents an above-average but well-supported warm episode. The market-implied odds reflect aggregated real-money consensus on official observational data rather than model divergence or unexpected cooling. Only persistent heavy cloud cover or earlier, stronger convection could realistically keep the recorded high below 35°C; otherwise, the outcome appears locked in by the end of daylight hours.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Taipei on August 30?
Highest temperature in Taipei on August 30?
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$38,607 Vol.
$38,607 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
100%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$38,607 Vol.
$38,607 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
29°C or below
$258 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$215 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$301 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$942 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$14,967 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$6,887 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$4,438 Vol.
100%
36°C
$4,527 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$4,688 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$1,072 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$313 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official Central Weather Administration forecasts set Taipei’s daily maximum at 35°C for August 30, 2026, with daytime ranges of 27–35°C under partly cloudy skies and a chance of afternoon thundershowers.** This aligns with observed midday readings climbing into the low 30s°C and typical late-August heat buildup before convective activity develops. Traders assign near-certain probability to exactly 35°C because the forecast threshold matches the expected peak under prevailing atmospheric conditions, including moderate southeasterly flow and sufficient insolation before any showers.
Historical August climatology for Taipei centers on highs near 32°C, so the current outlook represents an above-average but well-supported warm episode. The market-implied odds reflect aggregated real-money consensus on official observational data rather than model divergence or unexpected cooling.
Only persistent heavy cloud cover or earlier, stronger convection could realistically keep the recorded high below 35°C; otherwise, the outcome appears locked in by the end of daylight hours.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$38,607Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official Central Weather Administration forecasts set Taipei’s daily maximum at 35°C for August 30, 2026, with daytime ranges of 27–35°C under partly cloudy skies and a chance of afternoon thundershowers.** This aligns with observed midday readings climbing into the low 30s°C and typical late-August heat buildup before convective activity develops. Traders assign near-certain probability to exactly 35°C because the forecast threshold matches the expected peak under prevailing atmospheric conditions, including moderate southeasterly flow and sufficient insolation before any showers.
Historical August climatology for Taipei centers on highs near 32°C, so the current outlook represents an above-average but well-supported warm episode. The market-implied odds reflect aggregated real-money consensus on official observational data rather than model divergence or unexpected cooling.
Only persistent heavy cloud cover or earlier, stronger convection could realistically keep the recorded high below 35°C; otherwise, the outcome appears locked in by the end of daylight hours.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$38,607Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official Central Weather Administration forecasts set Taipei’s daily maximum at 35°C for August 30, 2026, with daytime ranges of 27–35°C under partly cloudy skies and a chance of afternoon thundershowers.** This aligns with observed midday readings climbing into the low 30s°C and typical late-August heat buildup before convective activity develops. Traders assign near-certain probability to exactly 35°C because the forecast threshold matches the expected peak under prevailing atmospheric conditions, including moderate southeasterly flow and sufficient insolation before any showers. Historical August climatology for Taipei centers on highs near 32°C, so the current outlook represents an above-average but well-supported warm episode. The market-implied odds reflect aggregated real-money consensus on official observational data rather than model divergence or unexpected cooling. Only persistent heavy cloud cover or earlier, stronger convection could realistically keep the recorded high below 35°C; otherwise, the outcome appears locked in by the end of daylight hours.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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