**Forecast models from sources including the Turkish Meteorological Service, ECMWF-influenced guidance, and global ensembles show Ankara under high pressure with clear to mostly sunny skies and light northeasterly winds on August 31, supporting daytime highs clustered around 28–29 °C.** This places the market’s two leading outcomes (28 °C at 45.5 % and 29 °C at 42.5 %) in near-equilibrium, reflecting typical late-summer variability in the Anatolian plateau’s continental regime where insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and minor cloud timing differences can shift the daily maximum by 1 °C. Recent model runs have narrowed the range after earlier cooling, with peak heating expected in the early-to-mid afternoon under low humidity (around 30–40 %) and minimal advection. Traders weigh official station observations against ensemble spread; any last-minute increase in mid-level moisture or slight wind shift could tip the balance toward the lower or higher bin before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Ankara on August 31?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 31?
28°C 46%
29°C 44%
27°C 10%
30°C 1.1%
BARU
$10,005 Vol.
BARU
$10,005 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
10%
28°C
46%
29°C
44%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 46%
29°C 44%
27°C 10%
30°C 1.1%
BARU
$10,005 Vol.
BARU
$10,005 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
24°C or below
$435 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$464 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$358 Vol.
1%
27°C
$1,837 Vol.
10%
28°C
$1,525 Vol.
46%
29°C
$3,710 Vol.
44%
30°C
$738 Vol.
1%
31°C
$400 Vol.
1%
32°C
$120 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$141 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$276 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including the Turkish Meteorological Service, ECMWF-influenced guidance, and global ensembles show Ankara under high pressure with clear to mostly sunny skies and light northeasterly winds on August 31, supporting daytime highs clustered around 28–29 °C.**
This places the market’s two leading outcomes (28 °C at 45.5 % and 29 °C at 42.5 %) in near-equilibrium, reflecting typical late-summer variability in the Anatolian plateau’s continental regime where insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and minor cloud timing differences can shift the daily maximum by 1 °C. Recent model runs have narrowed the range after earlier cooling, with peak heating expected in the early-to-mid afternoon under low humidity (around 30–40 %) and minimal advection.
Traders weigh official station observations against ensemble spread; any last-minute increase in mid-level moisture or slight wind shift could tip the balance toward the lower or higher bin before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$10,005Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including the Turkish Meteorological Service, ECMWF-influenced guidance, and global ensembles show Ankara under high pressure with clear to mostly sunny skies and light northeasterly winds on August 31, supporting daytime highs clustered around 28–29 °C.**
This places the market’s two leading outcomes (28 °C at 45.5 % and 29 °C at 42.5 %) in near-equilibrium, reflecting typical late-summer variability in the Anatolian plateau’s continental regime where insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and minor cloud timing differences can shift the daily maximum by 1 °C. Recent model runs have narrowed the range after earlier cooling, with peak heating expected in the early-to-mid afternoon under low humidity (around 30–40 %) and minimal advection.
Traders weigh official station observations against ensemble spread; any last-minute increase in mid-level moisture or slight wind shift could tip the balance toward the lower or higher bin before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,005Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources including the Turkish Meteorological Service, ECMWF-influenced guidance, and global ensembles show Ankara under high pressure with clear to mostly sunny skies and light northeasterly winds on August 31, supporting daytime highs clustered around 28–29 °C.** This places the market’s two leading outcomes (28 °C at 45.5 % and 29 °C at 42.5 %) in near-equilibrium, reflecting typical late-summer variability in the Anatolian plateau’s continental regime where insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and minor cloud timing differences can shift the daily maximum by 1 °C. Recent model runs have narrowed the range after earlier cooling, with peak heating expected in the early-to-mid afternoon under low humidity (around 30–40 %) and minimal advection. Traders weigh official station observations against ensemble spread; any last-minute increase in mid-level moisture or slight wind shift could tip the balance toward the lower or higher bin before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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