Recent National Weather Service and private forecasts for Austin on August 30, 2026, converge on a high near 99°F under sunny skies, light south winds, and minimal cloud cover, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 98-99°F. These conditions reflect persistent high pressure and seasonal late-summer heating, with afternoon peaks typically occurring between 3-6 p.m. local time. Models show limited spread, though slight upward revisions in some guidance allow a secondary chance of 100-101°F if insolation or boundary-layer mixing exceeds expectations. Historical averages for the date sit near 95°F, but recent years have frequently exceeded 100°F, aligning trader consensus with the current stable, hot pattern while assigning low probability to cooler or extreme outliers.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Austin on August 30?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 30?
98-99°F 66%
100-101°F 30%
96-97°F 4%
94-95°F 2%
$12,180 Vol.
$12,180 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
66%
100-101°F
30%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 66%
100-101°F 30%
96-97°F 4%
94-95°F 2%
$12,180 Vol.
$12,180 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
89°F or below
$250 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$230 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$95 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$277 Vol.
2%
96-97°F
$846 Vol.
4%
98-99°F
$7,367 Vol.
66%
100-101°F
$2,115 Vol.
30%
102-103°F
$517 Vol.
1%
104-105°F
$234 Vol.
1%
106-107°F
$114 Vol.
<1%
108°F or higher
$135 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private forecasts for Austin on August 30, 2026, converge on a high near 99°F under sunny skies, light south winds, and minimal cloud cover, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 98-99°F. These conditions reflect persistent high pressure and seasonal late-summer heating, with afternoon peaks typically occurring between 3-6 p.m. local time. Models show limited spread, though slight upward revisions in some guidance allow a secondary chance of 100-101°F if insolation or boundary-layer mixing exceeds expectations. Historical averages for the date sit near 95°F, but recent years have frequently exceeded 100°F, aligning trader consensus with the current stable, hot pattern while assigning low probability to cooler or extreme outliers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
Volume
$12,180Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private forecasts for Austin on August 30, 2026, converge on a high near 99°F under sunny skies, light south winds, and minimal cloud cover, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 98-99°F. These conditions reflect persistent high pressure and seasonal late-summer heating, with afternoon peaks typically occurring between 3-6 p.m. local time. Models show limited spread, though slight upward revisions in some guidance allow a secondary chance of 100-101°F if insolation or boundary-layer mixing exceeds expectations. Historical averages for the date sit near 95°F, but recent years have frequently exceeded 100°F, aligning trader consensus with the current stable, hot pattern while assigning low probability to cooler or extreme outliers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,180Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private forecasts for Austin on August 30, 2026, converge on a high near 99°F under sunny skies, light south winds, and minimal cloud cover, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 98-99°F. These conditions reflect persistent high pressure and seasonal late-summer heating, with afternoon peaks typically occurring between 3-6 p.m. local time. Models show limited spread, though slight upward revisions in some guidance allow a secondary chance of 100-101°F if insolation or boundary-layer mixing exceeds expectations. Historical averages for the date sit near 95°F, but recent years have frequently exceeded 100°F, aligning trader consensus with the current stable, hot pattern while assigning low probability to cooler or extreme outliers.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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