Ongoing atmospheric instability from Tropical Wave #37, combined with Panama's wet-season humidity and frequent convective activity, drives the closely matched market odds for the August 25 minimum in Panama City. Official forecasts indicate overnight lows near 24–26 °C under persistent cloud cover and showers that limit radiative cooling, yet model spreads and variable steering winds allow for occasional clearer intervals that could permit greater nocturnal drops. Historical August averages of 24 °C provide baseline context, while above-normal seasonal temperatures tied to equatorial Pacific warming add upward pressure on the distribution. Traders weigh the next IMHPA and global model updates, which will clarify whether enhanced convection or transient clear spells shift the implied probabilities across the 21–31 °C resolution thresholds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Panama le 25 août ?
La température la plus basse à Panama le 25 août ?
21°C ou moins 69%
31°C ou plus 59%
22°C 49%
28°C 49%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 août 2026
21°C ou moins
69%
22°C
49%
23°C
25%
24°C
25%
25°C
25%
26°C
26%
27°C
26%
28°C
49%
29°C
26%
30°C
22%
31°C ou plus
59%
21°C ou moins 69%
31°C ou plus 59%
22°C 49%
28°C 49%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 août 2026
21°C ou moins
$5 Vol.
69%
22°C
$5 Vol.
49%
23°C
$0 Vol.
25%
24°C
$0 Vol.
25%
25°C
$0 Vol.
25%
26°C
$0 Vol.
26%
27°C
$0 Vol.
26%
28°C
$5 Vol.
49%
29°C
$5 Vol.
26%
30°C
$5 Vol.
22%
31°C ou plus
$5 Vol.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing atmospheric instability from Tropical Wave #37, combined with Panama's wet-season humidity and frequent convective activity, drives the closely matched market odds for the August 25 minimum in Panama City. Official forecasts indicate overnight lows near 24–26 °C under persistent cloud cover and showers that limit radiative cooling, yet model spreads and variable steering winds allow for occasional clearer intervals that could permit greater nocturnal drops. Historical August averages of 24 °C provide baseline context, while above-normal seasonal temperatures tied to equatorial Pacific warming add upward pressure on the distribution. Traders weigh the next IMHPA and global model updates, which will clarify whether enhanced convection or transient clear spells shift the implied probabilities across the 21–31 °C resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$30Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing atmospheric instability from Tropical Wave #37, combined with Panama's wet-season humidity and frequent convective activity, drives the closely matched market odds for the August 25 minimum in Panama City. Official forecasts indicate overnight lows near 24–26 °C under persistent cloud cover and showers that limit radiative cooling, yet model spreads and variable steering winds allow for occasional clearer intervals that could permit greater nocturnal drops. Historical August averages of 24 °C provide baseline context, while above-normal seasonal temperatures tied to equatorial Pacific warming add upward pressure on the distribution. Traders weigh the next IMHPA and global model updates, which will clarify whether enhanced convection or transient clear spells shift the implied probabilities across the 21–31 °C resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$30Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing atmospheric instability from Tropical Wave #37, combined with Panama's wet-season humidity and frequent convective activity, drives the closely matched market odds for the August 25 minimum in Panama City. Official forecasts indicate overnight lows near 24–26 °C under persistent cloud cover and showers that limit radiative cooling, yet model spreads and variable steering winds allow for occasional clearer intervals that could permit greater nocturnal drops. Historical August averages of 24 °C provide baseline context, while above-normal seasonal temperatures tied to equatorial Pacific warming add upward pressure on the distribution. Traders weigh the next IMHPA and global model updates, which will clarify whether enhanced convection or transient clear spells shift the implied probabilities across the 21–31 °C resolution thresholds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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