Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a daytime high near 82–83°F for Central Park on August 23, driven by morning cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that limit solar heating before partial afternoon clearing. This positions the market's leading bin as the most probable outcome given typical August climatology of 83°F and the current steering pattern favoring modest onshore flow. Updated model runs show limited upside potential above 84°F due to persistent moisture and weak ridging, while downside risks remain constrained by the seasonal baseline. Traders are closely monitoring the next NWS forecast discussion for any shifts in timing or intensity that could alter the final observed maximum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à New York le 23 août ?
82-83°F 39%
80-81°F 36%
84-85°F 12%
78-79°F 9%
$35,426 Vol.
$35,426 Vol.
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
9%
80-81°F
36%
82-83°F
39%
84-85°F
12%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 39%
80-81°F 36%
84-85°F 12%
78-79°F 9%
$35,426 Vol.
$35,426 Vol.
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
9%
80-81°F
36%
82-83°F
39%
84-85°F
12%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a daytime high near 82–83°F for Central Park on August 23, driven by morning cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that limit solar heating before partial afternoon clearing. This positions the market's leading bin as the most probable outcome given typical August climatology of 83°F and the current steering pattern favoring modest onshore flow. Updated model runs show limited upside potential above 84°F due to persistent moisture and weak ridging, while downside risks remain constrained by the seasonal baseline. Traders are closely monitoring the next NWS forecast discussion for any shifts in timing or intensity that could alter the final observed maximum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour


Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes