Recent European forecast models from sources like ECMWF and national meteorological services indicate Madrid's maximum temperature on August 25 will most likely reach 28–29°C under typical late-summer anticyclonic conditions with light winds and minimal cloud cover. This aligns with the seasonal cooling trend from peak July–early August values near 32°C, driven by declining solar insolation and shifting subtropical ridge positioning. Current ensemble guidance shows low precipitation risk and stable high-pressure dominance, limiting upward spikes, though minor model disagreements on exact boundary-layer mixing could allow brief excursions to 30°C or a dip toward 27°C. Traders have weighted these outcomes most heavily given the proximity to resolution and consistency of short-range guidance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Madrid le 25 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Madrid le 25 août ?
28°C 44%
29°C 31%
27°C 17%
30°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 août 2026
24°C or below
3%
25°C
1%
26°C
7%
27°C
17%
28°C
44%
29°C
31%
30°C
9%
31°C
6%
32°C
4%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
2%
28°C 44%
29°C 31%
27°C 17%
30°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 août 2026
24°C or below
$15 Vol.
3%
25°C
$0 Vol.
1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
7%
27°C
$0 Vol.
17%
28°C
$15 Vol.
44%
29°C
$0 Vol.
31%
30°C
$10 Vol.
9%
31°C
$15 Vol.
6%
32°C
$0 Vol.
4%
33°C
$0 Vol.
2%
34°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European forecast models from sources like ECMWF and national meteorological services indicate Madrid's maximum temperature on August 25 will most likely reach 28–29°C under typical late-summer anticyclonic conditions with light winds and minimal cloud cover. This aligns with the seasonal cooling trend from peak July–early August values near 32°C, driven by declining solar insolation and shifting subtropical ridge positioning. Current ensemble guidance shows low precipitation risk and stable high-pressure dominance, limiting upward spikes, though minor model disagreements on exact boundary-layer mixing could allow brief excursions to 30°C or a dip toward 27°C. Traders have weighted these outcomes most heavily given the proximity to resolution and consistency of short-range guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$54Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European forecast models from sources like ECMWF and national meteorological services indicate Madrid's maximum temperature on August 25 will most likely reach 28–29°C under typical late-summer anticyclonic conditions with light winds and minimal cloud cover. This aligns with the seasonal cooling trend from peak July–early August values near 32°C, driven by declining solar insolation and shifting subtropical ridge positioning. Current ensemble guidance shows low precipitation risk and stable high-pressure dominance, limiting upward spikes, though minor model disagreements on exact boundary-layer mixing could allow brief excursions to 30°C or a dip toward 27°C. Traders have weighted these outcomes most heavily given the proximity to resolution and consistency of short-range guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$54Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent European forecast models from sources like ECMWF and national meteorological services indicate Madrid's maximum temperature on August 25 will most likely reach 28–29°C under typical late-summer anticyclonic conditions with light winds and minimal cloud cover. This aligns with the seasonal cooling trend from peak July–early August values near 32°C, driven by declining solar insolation and shifting subtropical ridge positioning. Current ensemble guidance shows low precipitation risk and stable high-pressure dominance, limiting upward spikes, though minor model disagreements on exact boundary-layer mixing could allow brief excursions to 30°C or a dip toward 27°C. Traders have weighted these outcomes most heavily given the proximity to resolution and consistency of short-range guidance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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