**Forecasts from multiple sources, including the Hydrometeorological Center and numerical models, indicate a daytime high of 17–18°C for Moscow on August 25, 2026, under partly to mostly cloudy skies with showers or thunderstorms possible.** This positions 18°C as the market leader (46.5% implied probability) followed closely by 17°C (34.0%), with lower probabilities for 16°C or 19°C and minimal odds on extremes. A cooling trend driven by a shift to westerly flow has replaced the warmer southwesterly pattern of August 23 (highs near 23–24°C). Increased cloud cover, higher humidity, and precipitation reduce solar heating and cap the maximum temperature. Current model consensus aligns closely with historical analogs for similar late-August setups featuring modest highs and unsettled conditions. The market’s tight clustering around 17–18°C reflects trader assessment of short-range forecast consistency, with resolution hinging on the official observed maximum from Moscow stations. Minor model shifts in the final 24–48 hours could adjust probabilities, particularly if convective activity or clearing alters peak heating.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Moscou le 25 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Moscou le 25 août ?
18°C 47%
17°C 34%
16°C 11%
19°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 août 2026
13°C or below
4%
14°C
3%
15°C
3%
16°C
11%
17°C
34%
18°C
47%
19°C
10%
20°C
4%
21°C
3%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
2%
18°C 47%
17°C 34%
16°C 11%
19°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 août 2026
13°C or below
$10 Vol.
4%
14°C
$0 Vol.
3%
15°C
$15 Vol.
3%
16°C
$0 Vol.
11%
17°C
$22 Vol.
34%
18°C
$36 Vol.
47%
19°C
$80 Vol.
10%
20°C
$0 Vol.
4%
21°C
$9 Vol.
3%
22°C
$5 Vol.
2%
23°C or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts from multiple sources, including the Hydrometeorological Center and numerical models, indicate a daytime high of 17–18°C for Moscow on August 25, 2026, under partly to mostly cloudy skies with showers or thunderstorms possible.** This positions 18°C as the market leader (46.5% implied probability) followed closely by 17°C (34.0%), with lower probabilities for 16°C or 19°C and minimal odds on extremes.
A cooling trend driven by a shift to westerly flow has replaced the warmer southwesterly pattern of August 23 (highs near 23–24°C). Increased cloud cover, higher humidity, and precipitation reduce solar heating and cap the maximum temperature. Current model consensus aligns closely with historical analogs for similar late-August setups featuring modest highs and unsettled conditions.
The market’s tight clustering around 17–18°C reflects trader assessment of short-range forecast consistency, with resolution hinging on the official observed maximum from Moscow stations. Minor model shifts in the final 24–48 hours could adjust probabilities, particularly if convective activity or clearing alters peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$182Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts from multiple sources, including the Hydrometeorological Center and numerical models, indicate a daytime high of 17–18°C for Moscow on August 25, 2026, under partly to mostly cloudy skies with showers or thunderstorms possible.** This positions 18°C as the market leader (46.5% implied probability) followed closely by 17°C (34.0%), with lower probabilities for 16°C or 19°C and minimal odds on extremes.
A cooling trend driven by a shift to westerly flow has replaced the warmer southwesterly pattern of August 23 (highs near 23–24°C). Increased cloud cover, higher humidity, and precipitation reduce solar heating and cap the maximum temperature. Current model consensus aligns closely with historical analogs for similar late-August setups featuring modest highs and unsettled conditions.
The market’s tight clustering around 17–18°C reflects trader assessment of short-range forecast consistency, with resolution hinging on the official observed maximum from Moscow stations. Minor model shifts in the final 24–48 hours could adjust probabilities, particularly if convective activity or clearing alters peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$182Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecasts from multiple sources, including the Hydrometeorological Center and numerical models, indicate a daytime high of 17–18°C for Moscow on August 25, 2026, under partly to mostly cloudy skies with showers or thunderstorms possible.** This positions 18°C as the market leader (46.5% implied probability) followed closely by 17°C (34.0%), with lower probabilities for 16°C or 19°C and minimal odds on extremes. A cooling trend driven by a shift to westerly flow has replaced the warmer southwesterly pattern of August 23 (highs near 23–24°C). Increased cloud cover, higher humidity, and precipitation reduce solar heating and cap the maximum temperature. Current model consensus aligns closely with historical analogs for similar late-August setups featuring modest highs and unsettled conditions. The market’s tight clustering around 17–18°C reflects trader assessment of short-range forecast consistency, with resolution hinging on the official observed maximum from Moscow stations. Minor model shifts in the final 24–48 hours could adjust probabilities, particularly if convective activity or clearing alters peak heating.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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