Official forecasts from the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a maximum of 23°C in Munich on August 23 under sunny skies and light winds, aligning with the market's 51% implied probability for that outcome. Late-August climatology in the region centers on daily highs of 19–25°C, with 21–23°C most common; recent model runs show limited spread around this range due to stable high pressure. The 38% chance assigned to 22°C reflects residual uncertainty from potential afternoon cloud build-up or minor cooling, while lower probabilities for 24°C or above stem from the absence of strong warming signals. Updated ensemble guidance expected later today will refine the exact peak.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Munich le 23 août ?
23°C 52%
22°C 37%
24°C 6%
21°C 5%
$48,415 Vol.
$48,415 Vol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
37%
23°C
52%
24°C
6%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
<1%
23°C 52%
22°C 37%
24°C 6%
21°C 5%
$48,415 Vol.
$48,415 Vol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
37%
23°C
52%
24°C
6%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a maximum of 23°C in Munich on August 23 under sunny skies and light winds, aligning with the market's 51% implied probability for that outcome. Late-August climatology in the region centers on daily highs of 19–25°C, with 21–23°C most common; recent model runs show limited spread around this range due to stable high pressure. The 38% chance assigned to 22°C reflects residual uncertainty from potential afternoon cloud build-up or minor cooling, while lower probabilities for 24°C or above stem from the absence of strong warming signals. Updated ensemble guidance expected later today will refine the exact peak.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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