Trader consensus strongly favors a daily maximum of 33°C in Shenzhen on August 23, 2026, with implied probability near 88 percent. Persistent subtropical high pressure combined with monsoon moisture and scattered thunderstorms is limiting daytime solar heating while maintaining high humidity near 80 percent. Official forecast guidance from agencies shows afternoon peaks clustered at 32–33°C, consistent with August climatology where long-term averages reach approximately 32°C. Minor model spread in storm timing and boundary-layer mixing accounts for the small but non-zero odds on 34°C, though any late-day clearing could push readings higher before resolution against official station data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Shenzhen le 23 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Shenzhen le 23 août ?
33°C 92%
34°C 6%
35°C or higher 1.3%
31°C <1%
$44,778 Vol.
$44,778 Vol.
23 août 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
92%
34°C
6%
35°C or higher
1%
33°C 92%
34°C 6%
35°C or higher 1.3%
31°C <1%
$44,778 Vol.
$44,778 Vol.
23 août 2026
25°C or below
$430 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$828 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,467 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,440 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$5,703 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$3,348 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$7,871 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$9,495 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$3,397 Vol.
92%
34°C
$3,334 Vol.
6%
35°C or higher
$6,465 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus strongly favors a daily maximum of 33°C in Shenzhen on August 23, 2026, with implied probability near 88 percent. Persistent subtropical high pressure combined with monsoon moisture and scattered thunderstorms is limiting daytime solar heating while maintaining high humidity near 80 percent. Official forecast guidance from agencies shows afternoon peaks clustered at 32–33°C, consistent with August climatology where long-term averages reach approximately 32°C. Minor model spread in storm timing and boundary-layer mixing accounts for the small but non-zero odds on 34°C, though any late-day clearing could push readings higher before resolution against official station data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$44,778Date de fin
23 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus strongly favors a daily maximum of 33°C in Shenzhen on August 23, 2026, with implied probability near 88 percent. Persistent subtropical high pressure combined with monsoon moisture and scattered thunderstorms is limiting daytime solar heating while maintaining high humidity near 80 percent. Official forecast guidance from agencies shows afternoon peaks clustered at 32–33°C, consistent with August climatology where long-term averages reach approximately 32°C. Minor model spread in storm timing and boundary-layer mixing accounts for the small but non-zero odds on 34°C, though any late-day clearing could push readings higher before resolution against official station data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$44,778Date de fin
23 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus strongly favors a daily maximum of 33°C in Shenzhen on August 23, 2026, with implied probability near 88 percent. Persistent subtropical high pressure combined with monsoon moisture and scattered thunderstorms is limiting daytime solar heating while maintaining high humidity near 80 percent. Official forecast guidance from agencies shows afternoon peaks clustered at 32–33°C, consistent with August climatology where long-term averages reach approximately 32°C. Minor model spread in storm timing and boundary-layer mixing accounts for the small but non-zero odds on 34°C, though any late-day clearing could push readings higher before resolution against official station data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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