Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a maximum temperature of 31°C for Tokyo on August 23 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, consistent with the daily normal of 30.5°C and limiting afternoon insolation. Ensemble models align on modest daytime heating amid elevated humidity typical of late-summer conditions, producing the market-implied 98.7% consensus on 31°C. Clearer breaks in cloud cover or reduced precipitation could allow stronger solar heating and push readings toward 32–33°C, while heavier convective activity would reinforce the capped outcome. Official updates through the afternoon will refine resolution criteria based on verified station measurements.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Tokyo le 23 août ?
31°C 99.5%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$49,134 Vol.
$49,134 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 99.5%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$49,134 Vol.
$49,134 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a maximum temperature of 31°C for Tokyo on August 23 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, consistent with the daily normal of 30.5°C and limiting afternoon insolation. Ensemble models align on modest daytime heating amid elevated humidity typical of late-summer conditions, producing the market-implied 98.7% consensus on 31°C. Clearer breaks in cloud cover or reduced precipitation could allow stronger solar heating and push readings toward 32–33°C, while heavier convective activity would reinforce the capped outcome. Official updates through the afternoon will refine resolution criteria based on verified station measurements.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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