European ensemble models and official forecasts from agencies like the UK Met Office converge on a daily maximum of 23–24°C for Munich on August 24, 2026, under post-frontal conditions with modest westerly flow and partly cloudy skies that limit solar heating. These align closely with late-August climatological norms near 23°C and explain the market’s heavy weighting toward 24°C (49%) and 23°C (23.5%). Limited instability reduces upside potential for 25°C or higher, while surface observations and model runs show low risk of cooler outcomes below 22°C. Traders monitor the final model updates and any last-minute cloud-cover changes ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Munich le 24 août ?
24°C 49%
23°C 24%
25°C 12%
22°C 10%
$10,693 Vol.
$10,693 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
10%
23°C
24%
24°C
49%
25°C
12%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 49%
23°C 24%
25°C 12%
22°C 10%
$10,693 Vol.
$10,693 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
10%
23°C
24%
24°C
49%
25°C
12%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...European ensemble models and official forecasts from agencies like the UK Met Office converge on a daily maximum of 23–24°C for Munich on August 24, 2026, under post-frontal conditions with modest westerly flow and partly cloudy skies that limit solar heating. These align closely with late-August climatological norms near 23°C and explain the market’s heavy weighting toward 24°C (49%) and 23°C (23.5%). Limited instability reduces upside potential for 25°C or higher, while surface observations and model runs show low risk of cooler outcomes below 22°C. Traders monitor the final model updates and any last-minute cloud-cover changes ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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