Latest forecast models from sources including the Hydrometeorological Center and GFS indicate a daytime high near 19–20°C in Moscow on August 24, 2026, driven by a cooler westerly air mass replacing the warmer conditions of August 23. This positions 20°C as the leading market outcome at 45.5% implied probability, followed closely by 19°C at 34.5%, consistent with projected peaks of 18–20°C under partly cloudy skies with light showers possible. Westerly winds of 5–7 m/s and modest cloud cover limit radiative heating, keeping temperatures modestly below the long-term average high of 21.2°C. Updated model runs through the morning of August 23 reinforce this range, with limited upside potential for 21°C or higher absent unexpected clearing.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Moscou le 24 août ?
20°C 46%
19°C 35%
21°C 11%
18°C 8%
15°C ou moins
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
8%
19°C
35%
20°C
46%
21°C
11%
22°C
3%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C ou plus
<1%
20°C 46%
19°C 35%
21°C 11%
18°C 8%
15°C ou moins
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
8%
19°C
35%
20°C
46%
21°C
11%
22°C
3%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models from sources including the Hydrometeorological Center and GFS indicate a daytime high near 19–20°C in Moscow on August 24, 2026, driven by a cooler westerly air mass replacing the warmer conditions of August 23. This positions 20°C as the leading market outcome at 45.5% implied probability, followed closely by 19°C at 34.5%, consistent with projected peaks of 18–20°C under partly cloudy skies with light showers possible. Westerly winds of 5–7 m/s and modest cloud cover limit radiative heating, keeping temperatures modestly below the long-term average high of 21.2°C. Updated model runs through the morning of August 23 reinforce this range, with limited upside potential for 21°C or higher absent unexpected clearing.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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