Recent model consensus from sources like the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and GFS indicates a cooling trend for Moscow on August 25, with daytime highs near 16–18°C and overnight lows around 12–14°C amid westerly winds and scattered showers. This positions the market near equilibrium between sub-9°C and 18°C+ outcomes because small variations in cloud cover, precipitation timing, and boundary-layer mixing can shift the minimum by several degrees. Clearer skies would enhance nocturnal radiative cooling toward lower thresholds, while persistent clouds, higher winds, or delayed rain reduce that effect and support milder readings closer to climatological norms. Updated ECMWF and local runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Moscou le 25 août ?
La température la plus basse à Moscou le 25 août ?
18°C or higher 95%
15°C 52%
16°C 52%
17°C 52%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 août 2026
8°C or below
31%
9°C
26%
10°C
27%
11°C
27%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
27%
15°C
52%
16°C
52%
17°C
52%
18°C or higher
95%
18°C or higher 95%
15°C 52%
16°C 52%
17°C 52%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 août 2026
8°C or below
$4 Vol.
31%
9°C
$0 Vol.
26%
10°C
$0 Vol.
27%
11°C
$0 Vol.
27%
12°C
$0 Vol.
27%
13°C
$0 Vol.
27%
14°C
$0 Vol.
27%
15°C
$5 Vol.
52%
16°C
$5 Vol.
52%
17°C
$5 Vol.
52%
18°C or higher
$5 Vol.
95%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and GFS indicates a cooling trend for Moscow on August 25, with daytime highs near 16–18°C and overnight lows around 12–14°C amid westerly winds and scattered showers. This positions the market near equilibrium between sub-9°C and 18°C+ outcomes because small variations in cloud cover, precipitation timing, and boundary-layer mixing can shift the minimum by several degrees. Clearer skies would enhance nocturnal radiative cooling toward lower thresholds, while persistent clouds, higher winds, or delayed rain reduce that effect and support milder readings closer to climatological norms. Updated ECMWF and local runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$24Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and GFS indicates a cooling trend for Moscow on August 25, with daytime highs near 16–18°C and overnight lows around 12–14°C amid westerly winds and scattered showers. This positions the market near equilibrium between sub-9°C and 18°C+ outcomes because small variations in cloud cover, precipitation timing, and boundary-layer mixing can shift the minimum by several degrees. Clearer skies would enhance nocturnal radiative cooling toward lower thresholds, while persistent clouds, higher winds, or delayed rain reduce that effect and support milder readings closer to climatological norms. Updated ECMWF and local runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$24Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources like the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and GFS indicates a cooling trend for Moscow on August 25, with daytime highs near 16–18°C and overnight lows around 12–14°C amid westerly winds and scattered showers. This positions the market near equilibrium between sub-9°C and 18°C+ outcomes because small variations in cloud cover, precipitation timing, and boundary-layer mixing can shift the minimum by several degrees. Clearer skies would enhance nocturnal radiative cooling toward lower thresholds, while persistent clouds, higher winds, or delayed rain reduce that effect and support milder readings closer to climatological norms. Updated ECMWF and local runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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