Recent forecasts for Moscow highlight uncertainty in the overnight minimum driven by variable cloud cover, moderate southwest winds of 4-8 m/s, and radiative cooling rates under partly clear skies. Official Russian Hydrometeorological Center guidance projects a low near 12°C, while some models and Yandex ensembles favor 15–16°C amid higher humidity and limited nocturnal decoupling. Historical August climatology shows average lows around 12°C, with model spread reflecting differences in boundary-layer parameterization and timing of any brief showers. With market-implied odds clustered tightly between 14–16°C, traders appear focused on the latest 00–06 UTC model runs and surface observations that will determine whether cooling reaches the lower or middle end of the range before sunrise.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Moscou le 23 août ?
La température la plus basse à Moscou le 23 août ?
15°C 40%
14°C 19%
13°C 19%
11°C 8.2%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
23 août 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
8%
12°C
7%
13°C
19%
14°C
19%
15°C
40%
16°C
34%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
15°C 40%
14°C 19%
13°C 19%
11°C 8.2%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
23 août 2026
10°C or below
$96 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$234 Vol.
8%
12°C
$59 Vol.
7%
13°C
$10 Vol.
19%
14°C
$10 Vol.
19%
15°C
$38 Vol.
40%
16°C
$22 Vol.
34%
17°C
$215 Vol.
1%
18°C
$208 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$138 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$479 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Moscow highlight uncertainty in the overnight minimum driven by variable cloud cover, moderate southwest winds of 4-8 m/s, and radiative cooling rates under partly clear skies. Official Russian Hydrometeorological Center guidance projects a low near 12°C, while some models and Yandex ensembles favor 15–16°C amid higher humidity and limited nocturnal decoupling. Historical August climatology shows average lows around 12°C, with model spread reflecting differences in boundary-layer parameterization and timing of any brief showers. With market-implied odds clustered tightly between 14–16°C, traders appear focused on the latest 00–06 UTC model runs and surface observations that will determine whether cooling reaches the lower or middle end of the range before sunrise.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$1,509Date de fin
23 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Moscow highlight uncertainty in the overnight minimum driven by variable cloud cover, moderate southwest winds of 4-8 m/s, and radiative cooling rates under partly clear skies. Official Russian Hydrometeorological Center guidance projects a low near 12°C, while some models and Yandex ensembles favor 15–16°C amid higher humidity and limited nocturnal decoupling. Historical August climatology shows average lows around 12°C, with model spread reflecting differences in boundary-layer parameterization and timing of any brief showers. With market-implied odds clustered tightly between 14–16°C, traders appear focused on the latest 00–06 UTC model runs and surface observations that will determine whether cooling reaches the lower or middle end of the range before sunrise.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,509Date de fin
23 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Moscow highlight uncertainty in the overnight minimum driven by variable cloud cover, moderate southwest winds of 4-8 m/s, and radiative cooling rates under partly clear skies. Official Russian Hydrometeorological Center guidance projects a low near 12°C, while some models and Yandex ensembles favor 15–16°C amid higher humidity and limited nocturnal decoupling. Historical August climatology shows average lows around 12°C, with model spread reflecting differences in boundary-layer parameterization and timing of any brief showers. With market-implied odds clustered tightly between 14–16°C, traders appear focused on the latest 00–06 UTC model runs and surface observations that will determine whether cooling reaches the lower or middle end of the range before sunrise.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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