Forecast models from Spain’s AEMET and the UK Met Office currently project Madrid’s minimum temperature on August 24 in the 17–19°C range, driven by a moderating Atlantic air mass, lighter winds, and increasing cloud cover that limits overnight radiative cooling. This places the 18°C-or-below outcome as the market leader at 55% implied probability, consistent with late-August climatology where typical lows average 16–18°C. Ensemble spread remains narrow but includes warmer members near 19–20°C if clearing skies develop, supporting the secondary 19°C bin at 19%. Traders are monitoring the next AEMET and ECMWF runs for any shifts in the steering pattern ahead of the overnight period.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Madrid le 24 août ?
La température la plus basse à Madrid le 24 août ?
18°C or below 63%
19°C 19%
20°C 10%
21°C 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 août 2026
18°C or below
63%
19°C
19%
20°C
10%
21°C
7%
22°C
3%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C ou plus
1%
18°C or below 63%
19°C 19%
20°C 10%
21°C 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 août 2026
18°C or below
$0 Vol.
63%
19°C
$0 Vol.
19%
20°C
$0 Vol.
10%
21°C
$165 Vol.
7%
22°C
$66 Vol.
3%
23°C
$155 Vol.
1%
24°C
$150 Vol.
1%
25°C
$438 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$15 Vol.
1%
27°C
$79 Vol.
1%
28°C ou plus
$156 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Spain’s AEMET and the UK Met Office currently project Madrid’s minimum temperature on August 24 in the 17–19°C range, driven by a moderating Atlantic air mass, lighter winds, and increasing cloud cover that limits overnight radiative cooling. This places the 18°C-or-below outcome as the market leader at 55% implied probability, consistent with late-August climatology where typical lows average 16–18°C. Ensemble spread remains narrow but includes warmer members near 19–20°C if clearing skies develop, supporting the secondary 19°C bin at 19%. Traders are monitoring the next AEMET and ECMWF runs for any shifts in the steering pattern ahead of the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,224Date de fin
24 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Spain’s AEMET and the UK Met Office currently project Madrid’s minimum temperature on August 24 in the 17–19°C range, driven by a moderating Atlantic air mass, lighter winds, and increasing cloud cover that limits overnight radiative cooling. This places the 18°C-or-below outcome as the market leader at 55% implied probability, consistent with late-August climatology where typical lows average 16–18°C. Ensemble spread remains narrow but includes warmer members near 19–20°C if clearing skies develop, supporting the secondary 19°C bin at 19%. Traders are monitoring the next AEMET and ECMWF runs for any shifts in the steering pattern ahead of the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,224Date de fin
24 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from Spain’s AEMET and the UK Met Office currently project Madrid’s minimum temperature on August 24 in the 17–19°C range, driven by a moderating Atlantic air mass, lighter winds, and increasing cloud cover that limits overnight radiative cooling. This places the 18°C-or-below outcome as the market leader at 55% implied probability, consistent with late-August climatology where typical lows average 16–18°C. Ensemble spread remains narrow but includes warmer members near 19–20°C if clearing skies develop, supporting the secondary 19°C bin at 19%. Traders are monitoring the next AEMET and ECMWF runs for any shifts in the steering pattern ahead of the overnight period.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes