Recent forecasts from AEMET and numerical models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Madrid’s August 24 maximum will likely reach 26–28 °C, driven by a shift to southwesterly flow behind an Atlantic front that increases cloud cover and allows only scattered light showers. This contrasts with the clearer, hotter conditions of 33 °C observed on August 23. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around the 27 °C peak, with afternoon temperatures sensitive to exact timing of any thicker cloud bands and boundary-layer moisture. Historical climatology places the late-August average high near 31 °C, underscoring the cooling effect of the current synoptic pattern. Traders appear to weight the latest model runs and official guidance most heavily, as resolution hinges on the verified daily maximum reported by AEMET.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Madrid le 24 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Madrid le 24 août ?
27°C 46%
28°C 30%
26°C 15%
29°C 9%
NOUVEAU
$17,259 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$17,259 Vol.
24 août 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
15%
27°C
46%
28°C
30%
29°C
9%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32 °C
<1%
33°C ou plus
<1%
27°C 46%
28°C 30%
26°C 15%
29°C 9%
NOUVEAU
$17,259 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$17,259 Vol.
24 août 2026
23°C or below
$376 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$444 Vol.
1%
25°C
$634 Vol.
2%
26°C
$2,109 Vol.
15%
27°C
$2,329 Vol.
46%
28°C
$5,381 Vol.
30%
29°C
$3,574 Vol.
9%
30°C
$1,400 Vol.
4%
31°C
$170 Vol.
1%
32 °C
$348 Vol.
<1%
33°C ou plus
$495 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from AEMET and numerical models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Madrid’s August 24 maximum will likely reach 26–28 °C, driven by a shift to southwesterly flow behind an Atlantic front that increases cloud cover and allows only scattered light showers. This contrasts with the clearer, hotter conditions of 33 °C observed on August 23. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around the 27 °C peak, with afternoon temperatures sensitive to exact timing of any thicker cloud bands and boundary-layer moisture. Historical climatology places the late-August average high near 31 °C, underscoring the cooling effect of the current synoptic pattern. Traders appear to weight the latest model runs and official guidance most heavily, as resolution hinges on the verified daily maximum reported by AEMET.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
Volume
$17,259Date de fin
24 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from AEMET and numerical models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Madrid’s August 24 maximum will likely reach 26–28 °C, driven by a shift to southwesterly flow behind an Atlantic front that increases cloud cover and allows only scattered light showers. This contrasts with the clearer, hotter conditions of 33 °C observed on August 23. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around the 27 °C peak, with afternoon temperatures sensitive to exact timing of any thicker cloud bands and boundary-layer moisture. Historical climatology places the late-August average high near 31 °C, underscoring the cooling effect of the current synoptic pattern. Traders appear to weight the latest model runs and official guidance most heavily, as resolution hinges on the verified daily maximum reported by AEMET.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$17,259Date de fin
24 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from AEMET and numerical models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Madrid’s August 24 maximum will likely reach 26–28 °C, driven by a shift to southwesterly flow behind an Atlantic front that increases cloud cover and allows only scattered light showers. This contrasts with the clearer, hotter conditions of 33 °C observed on August 23. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around the 27 °C peak, with afternoon temperatures sensitive to exact timing of any thicker cloud bands and boundary-layer moisture. Historical climatology places the late-August average high near 31 °C, underscoring the cooling effect of the current synoptic pattern. Traders appear to weight the latest model runs and official guidance most heavily, as resolution hinges on the verified daily maximum reported by AEMET.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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