Recent extended forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and global models converge on Shanghai highs of 31–33°C for August 24 under typical late-summer subtropical monsoon conditions, with moderate southerly flow, high humidity, and limited cloud cover supporting peak readings near the seasonal average of 31–32°C. This consensus, reinforced by stable atmospheric patterns and absence of significant cooling fronts or typhoon influences, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 31°C (51.5%) and 32°C (35.5%), while lower probabilities for 33°C+ reflect the narrow upside risk from minor model variability or localized heating. Updated runs in the next 24 hours will further refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Shanghai le 24 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Shanghai le 24 août ?
31°C 50%
32°C 37%
33°C 6%
30°C 5%
NOUVEAU
$12,015 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$12,015 Vol.
24 août 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
50%
32°C
37%
33°C
6%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 50%
32°C 37%
33°C 6%
30°C 5%
NOUVEAU
$12,015 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$12,015 Vol.
24 août 2026
25°C or below
$206 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$206 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$144 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$596 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$730 Vol.
2%
30°C
$1,241 Vol.
5%
31°C
$3,283 Vol.
50%
32°C
$2,636 Vol.
37%
33°C
$1,167 Vol.
6%
34°C
$1,098 Vol.
2%
35°C or higher
$707 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent extended forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and global models converge on Shanghai highs of 31–33°C for August 24 under typical late-summer subtropical monsoon conditions, with moderate southerly flow, high humidity, and limited cloud cover supporting peak readings near the seasonal average of 31–32°C. This consensus, reinforced by stable atmospheric patterns and absence of significant cooling fronts or typhoon influences, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 31°C (51.5%) and 32°C (35.5%), while lower probabilities for 33°C+ reflect the narrow upside risk from minor model variability or localized heating. Updated runs in the next 24 hours will further refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$12,015Date de fin
24 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent extended forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and global models converge on Shanghai highs of 31–33°C for August 24 under typical late-summer subtropical monsoon conditions, with moderate southerly flow, high humidity, and limited cloud cover supporting peak readings near the seasonal average of 31–32°C. This consensus, reinforced by stable atmospheric patterns and absence of significant cooling fronts or typhoon influences, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 31°C (51.5%) and 32°C (35.5%), while lower probabilities for 33°C+ reflect the narrow upside risk from minor model variability or localized heating. Updated runs in the next 24 hours will further refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,015Date de fin
24 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent extended forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and global models converge on Shanghai highs of 31–33°C for August 24 under typical late-summer subtropical monsoon conditions, with moderate southerly flow, high humidity, and limited cloud cover supporting peak readings near the seasonal average of 31–32°C. This consensus, reinforced by stable atmospheric patterns and absence of significant cooling fronts or typhoon influences, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 31°C (51.5%) and 32°C (35.5%), while lower probabilities for 33°C+ reflect the narrow upside risk from minor model variability or localized heating. Updated runs in the next 24 hours will further refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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