**Current NWS forecasts and model consensus point to elevated overnight lows in the upper 60s to mid-70s for Los Angeles on August 25 amid an extreme heat wave, creating uncertainty around exact minimum values that explains the near-even split between sub-64°F and 82°F+ outcomes.** Persistent high pressure and weak onshore flow are suppressing typical marine layer cooling, keeping minimum temperatures well above the historical average of ~65°F while daytime maxima approach or exceed 95°F. Official guidance from the Los Angeles/Oxnard NWS office highlights this as potentially the hottest week of the year, with heat advisories and watches in effect through Friday and limited nocturnal radiational cooling under clear skies. Traders appear to weigh the risk of forecast revisions or localized variations in urban heat islands versus the strong signal for warmer-than-normal minima, with resolution hinging on the final 24-hour observational data from stations like LAX.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Los Angeles le 25 août ?
La température la plus basse à Los Angeles le 25 août ?
63°F ou moins 94%
82°F ou plus 93%
64-65 °F 49%
80-81°F 49%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 août 2026
63°F ou moins
94%
64-65 °F
49%
66-67 °F
25%
68-69 °F
25%
70-71°F
26%
72-73 °F
26%
74-75°F
25%
76-77°F
25%
78-79 °F
2%
80-81°F
49%
82°F ou plus
93%
63°F ou moins 94%
82°F ou plus 93%
64-65 °F 49%
80-81°F 49%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 août 2026
63°F ou moins
$5 Vol.
94%
64-65 °F
$5 Vol.
49%
66-67 °F
$0 Vol.
25%
68-69 °F
$0 Vol.
25%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
26%
72-73 °F
$0 Vol.
26%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
25%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
25%
78-79 °F
$5 Vol.
2%
80-81°F
$5 Vol.
49%
82°F ou plus
$5 Vol.
93%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current NWS forecasts and model consensus point to elevated overnight lows in the upper 60s to mid-70s for Los Angeles on August 25 amid an extreme heat wave, creating uncertainty around exact minimum values that explains the near-even split between sub-64°F and 82°F+ outcomes.**
Persistent high pressure and weak onshore flow are suppressing typical marine layer cooling, keeping minimum temperatures well above the historical average of ~65°F while daytime maxima approach or exceed 95°F. Official guidance from the Los Angeles/Oxnard NWS office highlights this as potentially the hottest week of the year, with heat advisories and watches in effect through Friday and limited nocturnal radiational cooling under clear skies. Traders appear to weigh the risk of forecast revisions or localized variations in urban heat islands versus the strong signal for warmer-than-normal minima, with resolution hinging on the final 24-hour observational data from stations like LAX.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$25Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current NWS forecasts and model consensus point to elevated overnight lows in the upper 60s to mid-70s for Los Angeles on August 25 amid an extreme heat wave, creating uncertainty around exact minimum values that explains the near-even split between sub-64°F and 82°F+ outcomes.**
Persistent high pressure and weak onshore flow are suppressing typical marine layer cooling, keeping minimum temperatures well above the historical average of ~65°F while daytime maxima approach or exceed 95°F. Official guidance from the Los Angeles/Oxnard NWS office highlights this as potentially the hottest week of the year, with heat advisories and watches in effect through Friday and limited nocturnal radiational cooling under clear skies. Traders appear to weigh the risk of forecast revisions or localized variations in urban heat islands versus the strong signal for warmer-than-normal minima, with resolution hinging on the final 24-hour observational data from stations like LAX.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$25Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current NWS forecasts and model consensus point to elevated overnight lows in the upper 60s to mid-70s for Los Angeles on August 25 amid an extreme heat wave, creating uncertainty around exact minimum values that explains the near-even split between sub-64°F and 82°F+ outcomes.** Persistent high pressure and weak onshore flow are suppressing typical marine layer cooling, keeping minimum temperatures well above the historical average of ~65°F while daytime maxima approach or exceed 95°F. Official guidance from the Los Angeles/Oxnard NWS office highlights this as potentially the hottest week of the year, with heat advisories and watches in effect through Friday and limited nocturnal radiational cooling under clear skies. Traders appear to weigh the risk of forecast revisions or localized variations in urban heat islands versus the strong signal for warmer-than-normal minima, with resolution hinging on the final 24-hour observational data from stations like LAX.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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