Marine layer depth and onshore flow from the Pacific are the dominant controls on San Francisco’s peak temperature today, limiting daytime warming despite seasonal solar input. National Weather Service guidance shows mostly cloudy conditions with southwest winds strengthening to 10–20 mph this afternoon, consistent with typical August marine influence that caps highs near the 69.5 °F climatological average. Current model consensus and morning observations (upper 50s °F) point to a narrow range of possible peaks; traders have concentrated probability on 72–77 °F because small variations in cloud cover, wind timing, or marine-layer thinning could shift the daily maximum by a few degrees either way. No significant warm-air advection or clear-sky breakout is indicated in the latest NWS or NOAA updates.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à San Francisco le 23 août ?
La température la plus élevée à San Francisco le 23 août ?
72-73 °F 34%
74-75 °F 28%
76-77°F 22%
70-71°F 10%
$16,913 Vol.
$16,913 Vol.
23 août 2026
65°F ou moins
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
10%
72-73 °F
34%
74-75 °F
28%
76-77°F
22%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
4%
82-83 °F
<1%
84°F ou plus
<1%
72-73 °F 34%
74-75 °F 28%
76-77°F 22%
70-71°F 10%
$16,913 Vol.
$16,913 Vol.
23 août 2026
65°F ou moins
$1,348 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$359 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$2,415 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$4,037 Vol.
10%
72-73 °F
$3,155 Vol.
34%
74-75 °F
$1,963 Vol.
28%
76-77°F
$1,888 Vol.
22%
78-79°F
$920 Vol.
8%
80-81°F
$730 Vol.
4%
82-83 °F
$194 Vol.
<1%
84°F ou plus
$55 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Marine layer depth and onshore flow from the Pacific are the dominant controls on San Francisco’s peak temperature today, limiting daytime warming despite seasonal solar input. National Weather Service guidance shows mostly cloudy conditions with southwest winds strengthening to 10–20 mph this afternoon, consistent with typical August marine influence that caps highs near the 69.5 °F climatological average. Current model consensus and morning observations (upper 50s °F) point to a narrow range of possible peaks; traders have concentrated probability on 72–77 °F because small variations in cloud cover, wind timing, or marine-layer thinning could shift the daily maximum by a few degrees either way. No significant warm-air advection or clear-sky breakout is indicated in the latest NWS or NOAA updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ET
Volume
$16,913Date de fin
23 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Marine layer depth and onshore flow from the Pacific are the dominant controls on San Francisco’s peak temperature today, limiting daytime warming despite seasonal solar input. National Weather Service guidance shows mostly cloudy conditions with southwest winds strengthening to 10–20 mph this afternoon, consistent with typical August marine influence that caps highs near the 69.5 °F climatological average. Current model consensus and morning observations (upper 50s °F) point to a narrow range of possible peaks; traders have concentrated probability on 72–77 °F because small variations in cloud cover, wind timing, or marine-layer thinning could shift the daily maximum by a few degrees either way. No significant warm-air advection or clear-sky breakout is indicated in the latest NWS or NOAA updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$16,913Date de fin
23 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Marine layer depth and onshore flow from the Pacific are the dominant controls on San Francisco’s peak temperature today, limiting daytime warming despite seasonal solar input. National Weather Service guidance shows mostly cloudy conditions with southwest winds strengthening to 10–20 mph this afternoon, consistent with typical August marine influence that caps highs near the 69.5 °F climatological average. Current model consensus and morning observations (upper 50s °F) point to a narrow range of possible peaks; traders have concentrated probability on 72–77 °F because small variations in cloud cover, wind timing, or marine-layer thinning could shift the daily maximum by a few degrees either way. No significant warm-air advection or clear-sky breakout is indicated in the latest NWS or NOAA updates.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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