**Persistent late-summer heat combined with clear skies and light southwest flow positions Houston for a high near 99°F on August 25.** National Weather Service forecasts explicitly call for sunny and hot conditions with a high around 99°F on Tuesday, following similar 100°F guidance for Monday amid an ongoing heat wave. Recent observations at Houston Intercontinental reached 103°F on August 22 and remained elevated into the 23rd under minimal cloud cover and low moisture, allowing strong daytime insolation above the August climatological average of ~95°F. Model consensus shows limited spread, with any tropical moisture or storm development through the 23–25 window remaining the main variable that could cap temperatures slightly lower. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 51.5% implied probability for 98–99°F and 34.5% for 96–97°F, aligns closely with these official guidance values while accounting for typical forecast uncertainty and station-specific measurement differences. Fresh model runs and any updates to the NHC or local NWS briefings on steering patterns or moisture return will serve as the next key catalysts before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Houston le 25 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Houston le 25 août ?
98-99°F 52%
96-97 °F 36%
100-101°F 8%
102-103°F 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 août 2026
89°F ou moins
3%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
4%
96-97 °F
36%
98-99°F
52%
100-101°F
8%
102-103°F
6%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
2%
108°F ou plus
2%
98-99°F 52%
96-97 °F 36%
100-101°F 8%
102-103°F 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 août 2026
89°F ou moins
$5 Vol.
3%
90-91°F
$10 Vol.
2%
92-93°F
$10 Vol.
3%
94-95°F
$12 Vol.
4%
96-97 °F
$56 Vol.
36%
98-99°F
$24 Vol.
52%
100-101°F
$32 Vol.
8%
102-103°F
$10 Vol.
6%
104-105°F
$10 Vol.
3%
106-107°F
$10 Vol.
2%
108°F ou plus
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent late-summer heat combined with clear skies and light southwest flow positions Houston for a high near 99°F on August 25.** National Weather Service forecasts explicitly call for sunny and hot conditions with a high around 99°F on Tuesday, following similar 100°F guidance for Monday amid an ongoing heat wave. Recent observations at Houston Intercontinental reached 103°F on August 22 and remained elevated into the 23rd under minimal cloud cover and low moisture, allowing strong daytime insolation above the August climatological average of ~95°F.
Model consensus shows limited spread, with any tropical moisture or storm development through the 23–25 window remaining the main variable that could cap temperatures slightly lower. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 51.5% implied probability for 98–99°F and 34.5% for 96–97°F, aligns closely with these official guidance values while accounting for typical forecast uncertainty and station-specific measurement differences. Fresh model runs and any updates to the NHC or local NWS briefings on steering patterns or moisture return will serve as the next key catalysts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$185Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent late-summer heat combined with clear skies and light southwest flow positions Houston for a high near 99°F on August 25.** National Weather Service forecasts explicitly call for sunny and hot conditions with a high around 99°F on Tuesday, following similar 100°F guidance for Monday amid an ongoing heat wave. Recent observations at Houston Intercontinental reached 103°F on August 22 and remained elevated into the 23rd under minimal cloud cover and low moisture, allowing strong daytime insolation above the August climatological average of ~95°F.
Model consensus shows limited spread, with any tropical moisture or storm development through the 23–25 window remaining the main variable that could cap temperatures slightly lower. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 51.5% implied probability for 98–99°F and 34.5% for 96–97°F, aligns closely with these official guidance values while accounting for typical forecast uncertainty and station-specific measurement differences. Fresh model runs and any updates to the NHC or local NWS briefings on steering patterns or moisture return will serve as the next key catalysts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$185Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent late-summer heat combined with clear skies and light southwest flow positions Houston for a high near 99°F on August 25.** National Weather Service forecasts explicitly call for sunny and hot conditions with a high around 99°F on Tuesday, following similar 100°F guidance for Monday amid an ongoing heat wave. Recent observations at Houston Intercontinental reached 103°F on August 22 and remained elevated into the 23rd under minimal cloud cover and low moisture, allowing strong daytime insolation above the August climatological average of ~95°F. Model consensus shows limited spread, with any tropical moisture or storm development through the 23–25 window remaining the main variable that could cap temperatures slightly lower. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 51.5% implied probability for 98–99°F and 34.5% for 96–97°F, aligns closely with these official guidance values while accounting for typical forecast uncertainty and station-specific measurement differences. Fresh model runs and any updates to the NHC or local NWS briefings on steering patterns or moisture return will serve as the next key catalysts before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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