**Current forecasts from models and monitoring agencies indicate a minimum temperature of 8°C in Cape Town on August 23, 2026, driving the overwhelming 98% market-implied probability for that outcome.** Clear skies, moderate southerly winds around 10-20 km/h, and stable high pressure have supported gradual overnight cooling consistent with typical late-winter patterns, where minima often fall to 8–12°C under similar conditions. Recent daily lows in the 6–9°C range have reinforced trader expectations for this exact threshold. The market reflects aggregated sentiment based on real capital, with high confidence in official station readings (such as Cape Town International Airport) resolving at 8°C. Only a significant forecast revision from rapid warming or localized station anomalies could realistically shift the outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse au Cap le 23 août ?
La température la plus basse au Cap le 23 août ?
8°C 98%
7°C 2%
6°C ou moins <1%
15°C <1%
$6,291 Vol.
$6,291 Vol.
23 août 2026
6°C ou moins
1%
7°C
2%
8°C
98%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C ou plus
<1%
8°C 98%
7°C 2%
6°C ou moins <1%
15°C <1%
$6,291 Vol.
$6,291 Vol.
23 août 2026
6°C ou moins
$452 Vol.
1%
7°C
$148 Vol.
2%
8°C
$241 Vol.
98%
9°C
$916 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$458 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$472 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$571 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$413 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$58 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$1,259 Vol.
<1%
16°C ou plus
$1,303 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from models and monitoring agencies indicate a minimum temperature of 8°C in Cape Town on August 23, 2026, driving the overwhelming 98% market-implied probability for that outcome.** Clear skies, moderate southerly winds around 10-20 km/h, and stable high pressure have supported gradual overnight cooling consistent with typical late-winter patterns, where minima often fall to 8–12°C under similar conditions. Recent daily lows in the 6–9°C range have reinforced trader expectations for this exact threshold. The market reflects aggregated sentiment based on real capital, with high confidence in official station readings (such as Cape Town International Airport) resolving at 8°C. Only a significant forecast revision from rapid warming or localized station anomalies could realistically shift the outcome.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$6,291Date de fin
23 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from models and monitoring agencies indicate a minimum temperature of 8°C in Cape Town on August 23, 2026, driving the overwhelming 98% market-implied probability for that outcome.** Clear skies, moderate southerly winds around 10-20 km/h, and stable high pressure have supported gradual overnight cooling consistent with typical late-winter patterns, where minima often fall to 8–12°C under similar conditions. Recent daily lows in the 6–9°C range have reinforced trader expectations for this exact threshold. The market reflects aggregated sentiment based on real capital, with high confidence in official station readings (such as Cape Town International Airport) resolving at 8°C. Only a significant forecast revision from rapid warming or localized station anomalies could realistically shift the outcome.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,291Date de fin
23 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from models and monitoring agencies indicate a minimum temperature of 8°C in Cape Town on August 23, 2026, driving the overwhelming 98% market-implied probability for that outcome.** Clear skies, moderate southerly winds around 10-20 km/h, and stable high pressure have supported gradual overnight cooling consistent with typical late-winter patterns, where minima often fall to 8–12°C under similar conditions. Recent daily lows in the 6–9°C range have reinforced trader expectations for this exact threshold. The market reflects aggregated sentiment based on real capital, with high confidence in official station readings (such as Cape Town International Airport) resolving at 8°C. Only a significant forecast revision from rapid warming or localized station anomalies could realistically shift the outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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