Uncertainty surrounding a potential tropical storm threat for August 23-25 amid Central Texas's persistent heat wave drives the near-even split between 73°F-or-below and 92°F-or-higher outcomes for Austin's August 24 low. Ongoing high pressure supports extreme daytime heat with typical midsummer lows near 74-76°F, but increased cloud cover, humidity, and possible rainfall from Gulf moisture could suppress radiative cooling and drop overnight temperatures well below climatology. Clear, dry conditions would instead maintain elevated lows in the upper 70s to low 80s. Latest NWS and model guidance on storm track, steering patterns, and timing remain the key variables likely to shift trader consensus before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Austin le 24 août ?
La température la plus basse à Austin le 24 août ?
92°F ou plus 87%
73°F ou moins 46%
84-85 °F 36%
86-87°F 36%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 août 2026
73°F ou moins
46%
74-75°F
20%
76-77°F
20%
78-79 °F
19%
80-81 °F
19%
82-83°F
19%
84-85 °F
36%
86-87°F
36%
88-89°F
36%
90-91°F
36%
92°F ou plus
87%
92°F ou plus 87%
73°F ou moins 46%
84-85 °F 36%
86-87°F 36%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 août 2026
73°F ou moins
$0 Vol.
46%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
20%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
20%
78-79 °F
$0 Vol.
19%
80-81 °F
$0 Vol.
19%
82-83°F
$4 Vol.
19%
84-85 °F
$5 Vol.
36%
86-87°F
$5 Vol.
36%
88-89°F
$5 Vol.
36%
90-91°F
$5 Vol.
36%
92°F ou plus
$5 Vol.
87%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Uncertainty surrounding a potential tropical storm threat for August 23-25 amid Central Texas's persistent heat wave drives the near-even split between 73°F-or-below and 92°F-or-higher outcomes for Austin's August 24 low. Ongoing high pressure supports extreme daytime heat with typical midsummer lows near 74-76°F, but increased cloud cover, humidity, and possible rainfall from Gulf moisture could suppress radiative cooling and drop overnight temperatures well below climatology. Clear, dry conditions would instead maintain elevated lows in the upper 70s to low 80s. Latest NWS and model guidance on storm track, steering patterns, and timing remain the key variables likely to shift trader consensus before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$29Date de fin
24 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Uncertainty surrounding a potential tropical storm threat for August 23-25 amid Central Texas's persistent heat wave drives the near-even split between 73°F-or-below and 92°F-or-higher outcomes for Austin's August 24 low. Ongoing high pressure supports extreme daytime heat with typical midsummer lows near 74-76°F, but increased cloud cover, humidity, and possible rainfall from Gulf moisture could suppress radiative cooling and drop overnight temperatures well below climatology. Clear, dry conditions would instead maintain elevated lows in the upper 70s to low 80s. Latest NWS and model guidance on storm track, steering patterns, and timing remain the key variables likely to shift trader consensus before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$29Date de fin
24 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Uncertainty surrounding a potential tropical storm threat for August 23-25 amid Central Texas's persistent heat wave drives the near-even split between 73°F-or-below and 92°F-or-higher outcomes for Austin's August 24 low. Ongoing high pressure supports extreme daytime heat with typical midsummer lows near 74-76°F, but increased cloud cover, humidity, and possible rainfall from Gulf moisture could suppress radiative cooling and drop overnight temperatures well below climatology. Clear, dry conditions would instead maintain elevated lows in the upper 70s to low 80s. Latest NWS and model guidance on storm track, steering patterns, and timing remain the key variables likely to shift trader consensus before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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