Current forecast models from sources including WeatherBug, WindBorne, and regional services indicate Tel Aviv highs of 31–35°C on August 25 under stable summer conditions with mostly sunny skies, light westerly winds, and minimal cloud cover. This setup favors a peak near 33°C as the most probable outcome, consistent with trader consensus at 55.5% implied probability, while 34°C follows at 26.5%. Typical late-August climatology centers around 30°C maxima, but recent runs show modest positive anomalies without major heat advection or Mediterranean sea-breeze suppression. Model spread and local urban heat effects introduce uncertainty around the exact daily maximum, with updates from official meteorological agencies likely to refine probabilities before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Tel Aviv le 25 août ?
33°C 56%
34°C 27%
32°C 13%
35°C 4%
29°C or below
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
3%
32°C
13%
33°C
56%
34°C
27%
35°C
4%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 56%
34°C 27%
32°C 13%
35°C 4%
29°C or below
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
3%
32°C
13%
33°C
56%
34°C
27%
35°C
4%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including WeatherBug, WindBorne, and regional services indicate Tel Aviv highs of 31–35°C on August 25 under stable summer conditions with mostly sunny skies, light westerly winds, and minimal cloud cover. This setup favors a peak near 33°C as the most probable outcome, consistent with trader consensus at 55.5% implied probability, while 34°C follows at 26.5%. Typical late-August climatology centers around 30°C maxima, but recent runs show modest positive anomalies without major heat advection or Mediterranean sea-breeze suppression. Model spread and local urban heat effects introduce uncertainty around the exact daily maximum, with updates from official meteorological agencies likely to refine probabilities before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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