Official meteorological observations from São Paulo monitoring stations recorded a daily maximum of 31°C on September 4, driving the near-certain market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Clear skies, low humidity, and light winds under a stable high-pressure system enabled strong daytime solar heating consistent with early-spring climatology for the region, where September averages peak near 23°C but warm anomalies are common. Traders weighted verified station data heavily over model forecasts, which showed some spread in expected highs. Final quality-controlled reports from agencies like INMET could prompt minor revisions if post-processing adjusts for sensor calibration or microclimate effects, though such changes remain unlikely given the strong observational consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Sao Paulo le 4 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Sao Paulo le 4 septembre ?
31°C 100.0%
23°C ou moins <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$43,432 Vol.
$43,432 Vol.
4 sept. 2026
23°C ou moins
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C ou plus
<1%
31°C 100.0%
23°C ou moins <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$43,432 Vol.
$43,432 Vol.
4 sept. 2026
23°C ou moins
$4,509 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$4,853 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,617 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,007 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,263 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,246 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$3,373 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$6,289 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$5,035 Vol.
100%
32°C
$5,234 Vol.
<1%
33°C ou plus
$8,005 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from São Paulo monitoring stations recorded a daily maximum of 31°C on September 4, driving the near-certain market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Clear skies, low humidity, and light winds under a stable high-pressure system enabled strong daytime solar heating consistent with early-spring climatology for the region, where September averages peak near 23°C but warm anomalies are common. Traders weighted verified station data heavily over model forecasts, which showed some spread in expected highs. Final quality-controlled reports from agencies like INMET could prompt minor revisions if post-processing adjusts for sensor calibration or microclimate effects, though such changes remain unlikely given the strong observational consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 2, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Volume
$43,432Date de fin
4 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 2, 2026, 8:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from São Paulo monitoring stations recorded a daily maximum of 31°C on September 4, driving the near-certain market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Clear skies, low humidity, and light winds under a stable high-pressure system enabled strong daytime solar heating consistent with early-spring climatology for the region, where September averages peak near 23°C but warm anomalies are common. Traders weighted verified station data heavily over model forecasts, which showed some spread in expected highs. Final quality-controlled reports from agencies like INMET could prompt minor revisions if post-processing adjusts for sensor calibration or microclimate effects, though such changes remain unlikely given the strong observational consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$43,432Date de fin
4 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 2, 2026, 8:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Official meteorological observations from São Paulo monitoring stations recorded a daily maximum of 31°C on September 4, driving the near-certain market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Clear skies, low humidity, and light winds under a stable high-pressure system enabled strong daytime solar heating consistent with early-spring climatology for the region, where September averages peak near 23°C but warm anomalies are common. Traders weighted verified station data heavily over model forecasts, which showed some spread in expected highs. Final quality-controlled reports from agencies like INMET could prompt minor revisions if post-processing adjusts for sensor calibration or microclimate effects, though such changes remain unlikely given the strong observational consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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