Forecast models from sources including GFS indicate a peak temperature near 24°C in Munich on September 5, 2026, driven by westerly flow, morning showers giving way to partial afternoon clearing, and moderate humidity supporting modest daytime warming. This places the day slightly above the 1991–2020 average high of 21.4°C while remaining well below historical September extremes. Trader consensus reflected in the 60.5% implied probability for 24°C and 26.5% for 25°C aligns with this narrow model range, with lower odds on 23°C or higher values underscoring limited upside from current atmospheric conditions. Official observations from the German Weather Service will determine the exact daily maximum for market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Munich le 5 septembre ?
24°C 63%
25°C 26%
23°C 11%
22°C 3%
$39,520 Vol.
$39,520 Vol.
18°C ou moins
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
3%
23°C
11%
24°C
63%
25°C
26%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C ou plus
<1%
24°C 63%
25°C 26%
23°C 11%
22°C 3%
$39,520 Vol.
$39,520 Vol.
18°C ou moins
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
3%
23°C
11%
24°C
63%
25°C
26%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including GFS indicate a peak temperature near 24°C in Munich on September 5, 2026, driven by westerly flow, morning showers giving way to partial afternoon clearing, and moderate humidity supporting modest daytime warming. This places the day slightly above the 1991–2020 average high of 21.4°C while remaining well below historical September extremes. Trader consensus reflected in the 60.5% implied probability for 24°C and 26.5% for 25°C aligns with this narrow model range, with lower odds on 23°C or higher values underscoring limited upside from current atmospheric conditions. Official observations from the German Weather Service will determine the exact daily maximum for market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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