Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS guidance, indicate a daytime high near 19–20°C in Amsterdam under partly cloudy skies with moderate westerly winds of 15–25 km/h. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 20.3°C for September 5 and reflects stable atmospheric conditions without strong warm advection or clear-sky amplification. Official observations through midday show temperatures climbing toward but not exceeding this range, supporting the 90% market-implied probability for exactly 20°C as the daily maximum. Resolution will hinge on final verified readings from primary stations such as Schiphol, with minimal upside risk from lingering model spread.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Amsterdam le 5 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Amsterdam le 5 septembre ?
20°C 93%
21°C 8%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$62,088 Vol.
$62,088 Vol.
5 sept. 2026
15°C ou moins
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
93%
21°C
8%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C ou plus
<1%
20°C 93%
21°C 8%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$62,088 Vol.
$62,088 Vol.
5 sept. 2026
15°C ou moins
$381 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$491 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$16,344 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$8,126 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$12,592 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$11,154 Vol.
93%
21°C
$6,477 Vol.
8%
22°C
$3,612 Vol.
1%
23°C
$2,363 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$322 Vol.
<1%
25°C ou plus
$227 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS guidance, indicate a daytime high near 19–20°C in Amsterdam under partly cloudy skies with moderate westerly winds of 15–25 km/h. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 20.3°C for September 5 and reflects stable atmospheric conditions without strong warm advection or clear-sky amplification. Official observations through midday show temperatures climbing toward but not exceeding this range, supporting the 90% market-implied probability for exactly 20°C as the daily maximum. Resolution will hinge on final verified readings from primary stations such as Schiphol, with minimal upside risk from lingering model spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$62,088Date de fin
5 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS guidance, indicate a daytime high near 19–20°C in Amsterdam under partly cloudy skies with moderate westerly winds of 15–25 km/h. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 20.3°C for September 5 and reflects stable atmospheric conditions without strong warm advection or clear-sky amplification. Official observations through midday show temperatures climbing toward but not exceeding this range, supporting the 90% market-implied probability for exactly 20°C as the daily maximum. Resolution will hinge on final verified readings from primary stations such as Schiphol, with minimal upside risk from lingering model spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$62,088Date de fin
5 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS guidance, indicate a daytime high near 19–20°C in Amsterdam under partly cloudy skies with moderate westerly winds of 15–25 km/h. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 20.3°C for September 5 and reflects stable atmospheric conditions without strong warm advection or clear-sky amplification. Official observations through midday show temperatures climbing toward but not exceeding this range, supporting the 90% market-implied probability for exactly 20°C as the daily maximum. Resolution will hinge on final verified readings from primary stations such as Schiphol, with minimal upside risk from lingering model spread.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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