High pressure and clear skies over northern Italy are driving peak afternoon temperatures in Milan toward 33–35°C on September 5, 2026, with light westerly winds, low humidity (30–50%), and minimal cloud cover allowing strong solar insolation. Official forecasts from sources such as the Met Office and GFS-based models show hourly peaks reaching 34–35°C around 15:00–17:00 local time, above the September climatological average of ~22–26°C. The market-implied 64% probability on 33°C reflects trader assessment of slight model cooling or measurement timing, while the 19.5% on 34°C and low odds on 35°C or higher incorporate uncertainty in exact maximum readings from official stations. No significant frontal systems or moisture advection are expected to alter the warm, stable conditions before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Milan le 5 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Milan le 5 septembre ?
33°C 61%
32°C 19%
34°C 18%
35°C 2%
$41,993 Vol.
$41,993 Vol.
5 sept. 2026
28°C ou moins
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
19%
33°C
61%
34°C
18%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C ou plus
<1%
33°C 61%
32°C 19%
34°C 18%
35°C 2%
$41,993 Vol.
$41,993 Vol.
5 sept. 2026
28°C ou moins
$11,540 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,800 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,058 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$2,509 Vol.
1%
32°C
$5,500 Vol.
19%
33°C
$8,684 Vol.
61%
34°C
$4,229 Vol.
18%
35°C
$2,631 Vol.
2%
36°C
$654 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$1,256 Vol.
<1%
38°C ou plus
$1,130 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.High pressure and clear skies over northern Italy are driving peak afternoon temperatures in Milan toward 33–35°C on September 5, 2026, with light westerly winds, low humidity (30–50%), and minimal cloud cover allowing strong solar insolation. Official forecasts from sources such as the Met Office and GFS-based models show hourly peaks reaching 34–35°C around 15:00–17:00 local time, above the September climatological average of ~22–26°C. The market-implied 64% probability on 33°C reflects trader assessment of slight model cooling or measurement timing, while the 19.5% on 34°C and low odds on 35°C or higher incorporate uncertainty in exact maximum readings from official stations. No significant frontal systems or moisture advection are expected to alter the warm, stable conditions before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$41,993Date de fin
5 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.High pressure and clear skies over northern Italy are driving peak afternoon temperatures in Milan toward 33–35°C on September 5, 2026, with light westerly winds, low humidity (30–50%), and minimal cloud cover allowing strong solar insolation. Official forecasts from sources such as the Met Office and GFS-based models show hourly peaks reaching 34–35°C around 15:00–17:00 local time, above the September climatological average of ~22–26°C. The market-implied 64% probability on 33°C reflects trader assessment of slight model cooling or measurement timing, while the 19.5% on 34°C and low odds on 35°C or higher incorporate uncertainty in exact maximum readings from official stations. No significant frontal systems or moisture advection are expected to alter the warm, stable conditions before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$41,993Date de fin
5 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...High pressure and clear skies over northern Italy are driving peak afternoon temperatures in Milan toward 33–35°C on September 5, 2026, with light westerly winds, low humidity (30–50%), and minimal cloud cover allowing strong solar insolation. Official forecasts from sources such as the Met Office and GFS-based models show hourly peaks reaching 34–35°C around 15:00–17:00 local time, above the September climatological average of ~22–26°C. The market-implied 64% probability on 33°C reflects trader assessment of slight model cooling or measurement timing, while the 19.5% on 34°C and low odds on 35°C or higher incorporate uncertainty in exact maximum readings from official stations. No significant frontal systems or moisture advection are expected to alter the warm, stable conditions before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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