Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources converge on a daytime high of 34–37°C for Madrid on September 5, driven by partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and dry conditions that allow strong solar heating under late-summer insolation. Model outputs such as GFS and regional guidance show afternoon peaks near 35–36°C, modestly above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 28.9°C, with limited cloud cover reducing the chance of significant cooling. This positions 37°C as the market leader at 48% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on the upper end of the forecast envelope, while the 22.5% on 36°C and lower odds on 38°C+ account for model spread and potential measurement variability at official stations. Historical precedent, including a 37.4°C record in 2016, further supports elevated odds near these thresholds without indicating an extreme outlier event.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Madrid le 5 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Madrid le 5 septembre ?
37°C 48%
38°C 24%
36°C 24%
35°C 5%
$42,544 Vol.
$42,544 Vol.
5 sept. 2026
33°C ou moins
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
5%
36°C
24%
37°C
48%
38°C
24%
39°C
4%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C ou plus
<1%
37°C 48%
38°C 24%
36°C 24%
35°C 5%
$42,544 Vol.
$42,544 Vol.
5 sept. 2026
33°C ou moins
$2,273 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$1,893 Vol.
1%
35°C
$4,461 Vol.
5%
36°C
$8,259 Vol.
24%
37°C
$6,932 Vol.
48%
38°C
$10,432 Vol.
24%
39°C
$5,046 Vol.
4%
40°C
$1,493 Vol.
<1%
41°C
$179 Vol.
<1%
42°C
$1,121 Vol.
<1%
43°C ou plus
$455 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources converge on a daytime high of 34–37°C for Madrid on September 5, driven by partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and dry conditions that allow strong solar heating under late-summer insolation. Model outputs such as GFS and regional guidance show afternoon peaks near 35–36°C, modestly above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 28.9°C, with limited cloud cover reducing the chance of significant cooling. This positions 37°C as the market leader at 48% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on the upper end of the forecast envelope, while the 22.5% on 36°C and lower odds on 38°C+ account for model spread and potential measurement variability at official stations. Historical precedent, including a 37.4°C record in 2016, further supports elevated odds near these thresholds without indicating an extreme outlier event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$42,544Date de fin
5 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources converge on a daytime high of 34–37°C for Madrid on September 5, driven by partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and dry conditions that allow strong solar heating under late-summer insolation. Model outputs such as GFS and regional guidance show afternoon peaks near 35–36°C, modestly above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 28.9°C, with limited cloud cover reducing the chance of significant cooling. This positions 37°C as the market leader at 48% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on the upper end of the forecast envelope, while the 22.5% on 36°C and lower odds on 38°C+ account for model spread and potential measurement variability at official stations. Historical precedent, including a 37.4°C record in 2016, further supports elevated odds near these thresholds without indicating an extreme outlier event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$42,544Date de fin
5 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources converge on a daytime high of 34–37°C for Madrid on September 5, driven by partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and dry conditions that allow strong solar heating under late-summer insolation. Model outputs such as GFS and regional guidance show afternoon peaks near 35–36°C, modestly above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 28.9°C, with limited cloud cover reducing the chance of significant cooling. This positions 37°C as the market leader at 48% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on the upper end of the forecast envelope, while the 22.5% on 36°C and lower odds on 38°C+ account for model spread and potential measurement variability at official stations. Historical precedent, including a 37.4°C record in 2016, further supports elevated odds near these thresholds without indicating an extreme outlier event.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes